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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 19:43 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were CHI 35, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Ryan Miller stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G), 2. Troy Terry (1 G), 3. Hampus Lindholm (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI013210212435
ANAANA0821519332

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    1-0
    0:49
  2. ANA
    D. Shore(7)SHG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:22
  3. CHI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    16:42
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    18:37

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:35
  2. CHI
    slapxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:06
  3. CHI
    B. Saad (17), J. Toews (37)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    19:43

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·ANA 19 PIM

1st

  • 14:37ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

2nd

  • 0:35ANARickard Rakell · Boardingdrawn by Drake Caggiula5 min
  • 0:35ANARickard Rakell · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:02ANAserved by D. Sprong · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:48CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCHI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 3rd 19:43 — CHI 48% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.25J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.25D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.20M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.19D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.18C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.15T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.15C. Rowney · Goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.12D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.11T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.11R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.02B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsANA
2.74 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.21 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI41%59%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsANA
35
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
19
12
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
17
18
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD022-110.02110—24:20
88P. KaneR101-250.43000—23:55
2D. KeithD011+130.19030—22:22
20B. SaadL011+230.30000—22:04
19J. ToewsC022030.230006021:47
12A. DeBrincatR202-240.31000—20:18
7B. SeabrookD000020.06340—19:47
15A. AnisimovC101+120.240003319:13
24D. KahunC000+110.03000017:54
17D. StromeC011-200.000105717:45
5C. MurphyD000+130.15212—17:32
63C. DahlstromD000000.00110—15:50
68S. KoekkoekD000000.00120—15:05
95D. SikuraR000020.08000—10:25
16M. KrugerC000010.140005009:16
40J. HaydenC000030.17100007:59
14C. KunitzL000010.13000—07:45
91D. CaggiulaL000010.24300—04:43
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(W)32293.9063.30+0.3060:00

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).