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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV NBCSN, WGN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Kase's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 27, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 28 of 31 (.903); John Gibson stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Daniel Sprong (1 G), 2. Ondrej Kase (1 G), 3. Erik Gustafsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    D. Sprong1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    O. Kase1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    E. Gustafsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0821009227
ANAANA21201426432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    5:41
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:01

2nd period

  1. CHI
    D. Keith (10), P. Kane (18)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:16
  2. CHI
    J. Toews (11), B. Saad (8)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:32

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:03
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:29

Penalties

CHI 7 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:47CHIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Jake Dotchin5 min
  • 1:47ANAJake Dotchin · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 13:09ANAJacob Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 17:01ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min

2nd

  • 4:19CHIDuncan Keith · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 5:00ANADaniel Sprong · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCHI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Kase, 3rd 4:03 — ANA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.92R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.36J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.23A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.22J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.12K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.12O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.11A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.11D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.10D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.09O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.09O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.09D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.07O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.05J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dotchin · Missed · xG 0.04P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 4.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsANA
2.42 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI45%55%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsANA
27
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
29
Hits
31
15
Blocked shots
16
19
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR011-130.13100—21:48
2D. KeithD011+110.02262—21:31
42G. ForslingD000+120.13110—21:21
19J. ToewsC011020.231007121:15
7B. SeabrookD000-320.16210—21:10
20B. SaadL011030.29100—20:53
56E. GustafssonD101010.09200—20:39
23B. ManningD000-300.00850—17:47
15A. AnisimovC000-150.262004517:21
17D. StromeC000010.150005015:05
12A. DeBrincatR101030.5700010014:29
28H. JokiharjuD000000.00210—14:29
64D. KampfC000-130.290002314:12
11B. PerliniL000-110.03400—13:41
24D. KahunC000-100.08000013:00
40J. HaydenC000000.00115011:08
16M. KrugerC000-100.00100010:20
84A. FortinL000-100.00100—08:32
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)31283.9032.71-0.2959:16

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).