Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 14:24 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were TBL 20, CBJ 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 3 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (39 saves, .975), 3. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Kucherov2 G, 3 A

- ★★A. Vasilevskiy39 saves, .975

- ★★★B. Point2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-011:18
2-014:24
2nd period
3-019:31
3rd period
4-00:12
5-00:46
5-118:15
Penalties
1st
- 2:02
Josh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
- 17:48
Alex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
2nd
- 12:19
Cedric Paquette · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
- 18:19
Josh Anderson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
- 19:27
served by E. Robinson · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 7:30
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
- 7:30
Mathieu Joseph · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 13:09
Nikita Kucherov · High sticking double minordrawn by Seth Jones4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 14:24 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.65 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.3
- 1.33 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 0.32 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.28
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 40
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 21
- Hits
- 15
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 5
- Giveaways
- 6
- 2
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






