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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, MSG-B·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miles Wood's goal at 7:25 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were BUF 35, NJD 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.3 goals below expected; Cory Schneider stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cory Schneider (34 saves, .971), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    C. Schneider34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF012112011135
NJDNJD0112726424

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(6)
    K. Palmieri (20), T. Zajac (20)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    7:25
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(6)PPG
    K. Palmieri (21), D. Severson (20)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    13:38
  3. BUF
    S. Reinhart(14)
    Z. Bogosian (12), J. Eichel (44)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    19:04

3rd period

  1. NJD
    K. Palmieri(26)
    T. Zajac (21), A. Greene (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    14:09
  2. NJD
    J. Anderson(2)EN
    A. Greene (14)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    16:51

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:26NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
  • 16:42BUFserved by J. Pominville · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 13:06BUFVladimir Sobotka · Holdingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min
  • 17:00NJDEric Gryba · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min

3rd

  • 15:40NJDDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Miles Wood, 2nd 7:25 — NJD 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.41J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.23K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.10D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.09T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.06K. Agostino · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.04K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gabriel · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD4 G · 2.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
2.41 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF64%36%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-130.10410—23:02
4Z. BogosianD011000.00220—20:58
9J. EichelC011-140.432005019:56
23S. ReinhartC101-250.38000019:42
53J. SkinnerL000-220.120005019:29
55R. RistolainenD000-260.10410—19:24
19J. McCabeD000010.12100—19:04
71E. RodriguesC000040.110107118:23
24L. PilutD000-100.00030—17:19
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.140106017:03
43C. ShearyL000000.08000—16:28
48M. HunwickD000000.00100—15:45
29J. PominvilleR000020.46000—13:11
72T. ThompsonC000-110.18100013:02
17V. SobotkaC000010.022123312:22
22J. LarssonL000020.121008912:03
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.00200010:43
49C. SmithL000020.08000—10:07
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)23203.8701.71-1.2959:27

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).