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Senators at Jets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
Final/OTTV SN1, SN360·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Ryan Dzingel scoring at 3:44. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Dzingel's goal at 3:44 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were OTT 41, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 37 of 41 (.902). Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Myers (2 G), 3. Mark Stone (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    T. Myers2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Stone1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT11311411014441
WPGWPG28081901326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(27)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (14), M. Duchene (29)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    1-0
    1:38
  2. WPG
    B. Tanev(13)SHG
    A. Lowry (8)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    2:56
  3. WPG
    T. Myers(6)SHG
    B. Tanev (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    5:33

2nd period

  1. OTT
    R. Balcers(2)PPG
    R. Dzingel (21), C. Jaros (5)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    13:53

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(27)PPG
    B. Ryan (22), M. Stone (32)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    0:47
  2. WPG
    T. Myers(7)
    J. Roslovic (10), B. Little (23)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:01

Overtime

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(22)
    C. Tierney (33), C. Jaros (6)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:44

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·WPG 14 PIM

1st

  • 1:19WPGDmitry Kulikov · High sticking double minordrawn by Colin White4 min
  • 3:40WPGDmitry Kulikov · Interference2 min
  • 13:22OTTZack Smith · Slashingdrawn by Sami Niku2 min

2nd

  • 12:18WPGBrandon Tanev · Hookingdrawn by Magnus Paajarvi2 min
  • 18:48WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 19:16WPGJacob Trouba · High sticking double minordrawn by Brady Tkachuk4 min

3rd

  • 11:27OTTBobby Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalOTT goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Dzingel, OT 3:44 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.16A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.14T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.09B. Little · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.06B. Little · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.04M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.03S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00B. Little · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWPG
4.54 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.53 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.40 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT87%13%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.40 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWPG
41
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
3/7
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
14
17
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-120.27320—27:36
61M. StoneR112-240.61010—24:22
95M. DucheneC112-140.700106321:31
5C. CeciD000030.22200—20:05
7B. TkachukL011-150.553003317:58
9B. RyanR011-220.15202—17:55
2D. DeMeloD000-120.13330—17:50
18R. DzingelC112030.470005017:41
67B. HarpurD000-100.02220—17:03
71C. TierneyC011010.070004316:46
44J. PageauC000020.440001416:38
36C. WhiteC000-120.330006016:15
83C. JarosD022+120.03110—15:47
58M. LajoieD000-100.00100—15:22
15Z. SmithC000-120.100025615:02
56M. PaajarviL000020.02020—13:10
38R. BalcersL101-140.35000—11:50
90D. ArchibaldR000010.02010—04:21
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(W)26233.8851.79-1.2163:44

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).