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New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 7:21 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 37, WPG 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.5 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 G), 3. Andrew Copp (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Copp1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR010217110337
WPGWPG2190928436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:58
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:38
  2. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    19:19

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    0:57
  2. WPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:22
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    3-4
    7:21

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:16WPGBen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

2nd

  • 4:49NYRJesper Fast · Interferencedrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 9:54NYRNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 17:37WPGDustin Byfuglien · Elbowingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 19:42WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

3rd

  • 13:03WPGJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYR goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, 3rd 7:21 — WPG 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.35M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.13M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.10B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.08J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · Goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWPG
2.13 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWPG
37
Shots on goal
36
37%
Faceoffs
63%
2/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
36M. ZuccarelloR022-140.03110—24:26
93M. ZibanejadC202-120.142003522:53
76B. SkjeiD000020.07200—21:45
20C. KreiderL011-130.34400—20:25
26J. VeseyL000-220.07100—19:51
22K. ShattenkirkD011030.15030—19:26
54A. McQuaidD000-110.04200—19:15
13K. HayesR000-210.100005019:12
18M. StaalD000-200.00010—16:08
16R. StromeC011020.200104315:44
90V. NamestnikovC000030.18510015:35
44N. PionkD000-150.07112—15:21
17J. FastR000040.17002—15:15
89P. BuchnevichL101-230.40110—14:33
77T. DeAngeloD011-100.00100—12:06
42B. SmithD000-100.00210—10:35
24B. NievesC000000.00110008:10
72F. ChytilC000020.130105006:20
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)36324.8892.48-1.5259:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).