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Ducks at Senators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
0
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV KCOP-13, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 18:08 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 75% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 45, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. John Gibson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Anders Nilsson stopped 45 of 45 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (45 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Duchene (2 G), 3. Mark Stone (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson45 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Stone1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01709019045
OTTOTT18116211435

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(12)
    M. Stone (31), C. White (16)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:23

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(23)
    C. Tierney (28), T. Chabot (30)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    18:08

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(23)
    C. Tierney (29), C. Ceci (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    6:26
  2. OTT
    M. Duchene(24)EN
    C. Ceci (12), T. Chabot (31)
    wristxG 0.57
    0-4
    19:29

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:48OTTColin White · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min

2nd

  • 1:27ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 2:17OTTBrady Tkachuk · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 15:58OTTBobby Ryan · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalANA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 2nd 18:08 — OTT 75% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.57B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.21M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.16R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.16M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.14B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.09M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.09B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.08M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.04M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.02C. Goloubef · Missed · xG 0.01R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsOTT
2.50 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA51%49%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsOTT
45
Shots on goal
35
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
32
14
Blocked shots
26
10
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26B. MontourD000-100.02130—25:48
47H. LindholmD000-160.05130—24:41
4C. FowlerD000-150.09002—22:22
15R. GetzlafC000-220.132005021:29
67R. RakellR000-120.33400—21:19
10C. PerryR000-220.30000—20:16
37N. RitchieL000040.36010—18:57
14A. HenriqueC000040.343206717:33
42J. MansonD000-120.10220—17:06
11D. SprongR000-130.21000—16:25
33J. SilfverbergR000-230.13110—15:00
17R. KeslerC000-220.041105013:32
44M. Del ZottoD000-210.01000—13:19
29D. ShoreC000-310.07110013:18
24C. RowneyC000030.065006711:32
38D. GrantC000-130.2000010011:28
43J. MegnaD000-120.01100—09:20
23B. GibbonsC000000.06000009:14
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)24222.9171.56-0.4440:00
1C. Johnson1091.9000.89-0.1115:21

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).