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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Columbus Blue Jackets
4
FinalTV FS-O, MSG-B·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Sheary's goal at 2:12 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were BUF 34, CBJ 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.2 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Sheary (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Atkinson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Sheary1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF31616112534
CBJCBJ113312012437

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    E. Rodrigues(6)
    C. Mittelstadt (8), C. Sheary (13)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:14
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois(18)
    R. Murray (22), C. Atkinson (22)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:17
  3. BUF
    S. Reinhart(12)
    R. Ristolainen (26), J. McCabe (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:59
  4. BUF
    T. Thompson(7)
    R. Dahlin (22), Z. Bogosian (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    9:39

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    N. Foligno(13)PPG
    A. Panarin (35), P. Dubois (27)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    0:21
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(31)
    J. Eichel (37), R. Dahlin (23)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    0:42
  3. CBJ
    B. Dubinsky(5)
    S. Harrington (11), J. Anderson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    16:52
  4. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(28)
    R. Murray (23), A. Panarin (36)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    19:27

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Sheary(8)
    E. Rodrigues (12), Z. Bogosian (9)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +25 pts
    5-4
    2:12

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:12CBJArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 18:37BUFConor Sheary · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:18CBJSeth Jones · Trippingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 9:17BUFTage Thompson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Sheary, 3rd 2:12 — BUF 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.19J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.16N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.12N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.10L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Dubinsky · Goal · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hannikainen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 2.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
4.25 G
All situations
4 G2.8
3.85 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF68%32%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.01 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
34
Shots on goal
37
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD011-140.16110—26:10
19J. McCabeD011-110.18240—22:34
53J. SkinnerL101+210.110005722:15
4Z. BogosianD022+420.05010—21:28
9J. EichelC011+150.410003521:18
23S. ReinhartC101+171.12120020:31
26R. DahlinD022+420.07000—17:12
6M. ScandellaD000-100.04110—15:32
21K. OkposoR000-100.11110—14:52
22J. LarssonL000-100.001005714:16
17V. SobotkaC000+100.002006713:57
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.23210013:40
71E. RodriguesC112+120.410006013:33
48M. HunwickD000-110.15020—13:30
72T. ThompsonC101010.10102012:34
37C. MittelstadtC011+140.490206711:11
29J. PominvilleR000+100.00000—11:05
43C. ShearyL112+130.56002—10:56
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(W)37334.8922.84-1.1659:42

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).