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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
4
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
Final/OTTV FS-O, MSG-B·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-4 in overtime, Artemi Panarin scoring at 0:31. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blue Jackets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 0:31 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.9 to 3.6; shots on goal were BUF 38, CBJ 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.1 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cam Atkinson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    A. Panarin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF2170821300438
CBJCBJ1123160811537

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(3)
    T. Thompson (1), C. Nelson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:38
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois(3)
    A. Panarin (10)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:37
  3. BUF
    J. Skinner(6)
    J. McCabe (5), J. Eichel (7)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:11

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Panarin(4)
    P. Dubois (3), C. Atkinson (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:34
  2. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(5)
    R. Nash (2), Z. Werenski (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:42
  3. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(6)
    N. Foligno (4), S. Harrington (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    17:13

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Pominville(5)
    J. Eichel (8), J. McCabe (6)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    2:32
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(1)PPG
    J. Pominville (4), J. Skinner (6)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +20 pts
    4-4
    4:30

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    A. Panarin(5)
    P. Dubois (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    0:31

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:00BUFRasmus Dahlin · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 14:11CBJserved by A. Panarin · Delaying game bench2 min

2nd

  • 6:50BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Slashingdrawn by Markus Hannikainen2 min
  • 12:11CBJLukas Sedlak · High stickingdrawn by Jason Pominville2 min

3rd

  • 3:55CBJDavid Savard · Slashingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 6:15BUFKyle Okposo · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 8:09CBJZach Werenski · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Linus Ullmark2 min
  • 13:18CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Berglund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, OT 0:31 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.26A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.21O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.20C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.19S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.19A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.18A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.17A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.17A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.15L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.14S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.14A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.13S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.03S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
3.64 G
All situations
5 G3.9
2.63 G
Even strength
5 G3.5
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF45%55%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
38
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
8
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-240.21112—23:14
9J. EichelC022-130.511205021:04
4Z. BogosianD000000.07010—20:39
6M. ScandellaD000020.09010—20:38
53J. SkinnerL112+130.250003318:53
26R. DahlinD000010.11012—18:26
29J. PominvilleR112+160.5800010018:01
19J. McCabeD022-120.04220—17:27
23S. ReinhartC000-240.34010017:16
43C. ShearyL000-100.0202010017:01
22J. LarssonL000-100.020005815:51
28Z. GirgensonsC000040.29110014:43
17V. SobotkaC000-100.110204414:35
10P. BerglundC000020.0600010012:54
8C. NelsonD011010.04010—12:10
21K. OkposoR101020.2530210011:40
72T. ThompsonC011-130.30000011:21
37C. MittelstadtC101010.310002509:44
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(O)37325.8653.90-1.1060:27

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).