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Blues at Kings
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Kings came back from two goals down. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul LaDue's goal at 9:53 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.7, LAK 2.8; shots on goal were STL 36, LAK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brendan Leipsic (2 A), 3. Ivan Barbashev (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    B. Leipsic2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL21301419336
LAKLAK1142916429

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    M. MacEachern(1)
    V. Dunn (16), I. Barbashev (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:31
  2. STL
    O. Sundqvist(9)
    I. Barbashev (8), A. Pietrangelo (13)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    18:49
  3. LAK
    T. Toffoli(8)
    B. Leipsic (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:04

2nd period

  1. LAK
    D. Doughty(5)PPG
    A. Kopitar (20), J. Carter (15)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    7:15
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(14)
    D. Brown (17), J. Muzzin (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    18:16

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(18)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (15), A. Pietrangelo (14)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    6:00
  2. LAK
    P. LaDue(2)
    B. Leipsic (9), T. Toffoli (12)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +31 pts
    3-4
    9:53

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:43STLVince Dunn · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

2nd

  • 6:10STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
  • 7:06STLRobert Bortuzzo · High sticking double minordrawn by Drew Doughty4 min
  • 8:39STLJay Bouwmeester · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 12:32LAKJake Muzzin · Holding the stickdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

3rd

  • 5:18LAKDion Phaneuf · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSTL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Paul LaDue, 3rd 9:53 — LAK 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.30A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.19J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.18A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.15I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.12D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11P. LaDue · Goal · xG 0.11N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsLAK
2.73 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL48%52%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsLAK
36
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90R. O'ReillyC101050.361005223:41
55C. ParaykoD000-130.10200—22:51
19J. BouwmeesterD000010.06102—21:42
27A. PietrangeloD022-220.06100—21:36
91V. TarasenkoR011020.27110—19:25
7P. MaroonL000010.20500—18:30
41R. BortuzzoD000+120.17214—18:02
10B. SchennC000-110.160103317:46
17J. SchwartzL000-140.0711010017:09
4C. GunnarssonD000-110.02020—16:57
20A. SteenL000-160.4901010016:50
70O. SundqvistC101-210.131007014:55
29V. DunnD011+110.00012—14:43
49I. BarbashevL022+100.020204413:58
9S. BlaisL000010.02200—11:33
71J. NolanC000020.20100010:27
62M. MacEachernL101+130.19310—07:58
33J. KyrouR000000.12002—04:55
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)29254.8622.79-1.2157:57

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).