Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 2-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Luff's goal at 8:18 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.2, STL 2.4; shots on goal were LAK 27, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cal Petersen (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Luff (1 G), 3. Carl Hagelin (1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Petersen29 saves, 1.000

- ★★M. Luff1 G

- ★★★C. Hagelin1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals2nd period
1-08:18
3rd period
2-019:30
Penalties
1st
- 2:17
Matt Luff · High stickingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
3rd
- 9:23
Jake Muzzin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matt Luff, 2nd 8:18 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.4
- 1.71 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.36
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 62%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 28
- Hits
- 17
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 6
- Giveaways
- 10
- 9
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
