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Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, FS-W·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 2-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Luff's goal at 8:18 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.2, STL 2.4; shots on goal were LAK 27, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cal Petersen (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Luff (1 G), 3. Carl Hagelin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    C. Petersen29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    LAK
    M. Luff1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    C. Hagelin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0711218227
STLSTL01106012029

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    8:18

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.51win prob +3 pts
    2-0
    19:30

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·STL 0 PIM

1st

  • 2:17LAKMatt Luff · High stickingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 9:23LAKJake Muzzin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalLAK goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Luff, 2nd 8:18 — LAK 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.21R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.20T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.18B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
STL0 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSTL
2.21 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.71 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK35%65%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
29
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
28
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24D. ForbortD000000.00210—26:47
8D. DoughtyD011+110.03310—25:21
6J. MuzzinD000+210.01622—21:35
11A. KopitarC101+110.510105220:51
27A. MartinezD000+100.01320—20:33
23D. BrownR011+110.15410—20:31
77J. CarterC000030.382006017:44
19A. IafalloL000020.18010—17:19
73T. ToffoliC000020.13000016:01
62C. HagelinL011+230.07110—15:58
7O. FantenbergD000030.04210—15:34
64M. LuffR101+110.15012—14:09
44N. ThompsonC000010.0100010013:31
17I. KovalchukL000040.26000—12:47
9A. KempeR011+110.170006712:43
3D. PhaneufD000010.03110—10:45
13K. CliffordL000020.04100—07:24
51A. WagnerL000000.00300—06:27
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)292901.0002.37+2.3760:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).