Skip to content
Lightning at Stars
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
Dallas Stars
0
FinalTV FS-SW, SUN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Dallas Stars 2-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikhail Sergachev's goal at 9:15 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 80% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were TBL 21, DAL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1130315221
DALDAL01301309035

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(7)
    S. Stamkos (29), Y. Gourde (18)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:55

3rd period

  1. TBL
    M. Sergachev(2)
    A. Cirelli (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    9:15

Penalties

TBL 14 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

2nd

  • 9:48TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 9:48TBLVictor Hedman · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 12:38TBLAnthony Cirelli · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 12:38DALJamie Benn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
  • 14:10TBLNikita Kucherov · Interferencedrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

3rd

  • 4:22TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 8:11TBLMathieu Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 8:24DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 15:22TBLAndrei Vasilevskiy · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 17:59DALserved by V. Nichushkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:44DALRadek Faksa · Boardingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalTBL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Mikhail Sergachev, 3rd 9:15 — TBL 80% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.17E. Condra · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.12J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.11T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.03R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.03A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Condra · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL0 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDAL
1.72 G
All situations
0 G2.6
1.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL33%67%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDAL
21
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/6
14
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
29
18
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. StralmanD000+110.01220—24:57
27R. McDonaghD000010.01350—23:26
86N. KucherovR000040.29112—20:34
77V. HedmanD000+210.19114—19:13
91S. StamkosC011+220.483023317:48
5D. GirardiD000000.01220—17:43
55B. CoburnD000010.02010—16:07
21B. PointC000010.120006016:02
17A. KillornL000020.04000—15:36
98M. SergachevD101+130.11120—15:19
71A. CirelliC011+100.002323315:18
13C. PaquetteC000000.002107815:00
18O. PalatL101+110.08200—13:46
37Y. GourdeC011+110.13100013:31
9T. JohnsonC000000.00000012:27
10J. MillerC000010.171006011:04
24R. CallahanR000020.07300—10:48
7M. JosephR000000.00602—09:21
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)353501.0002.60+2.6060:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).