St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Sundqvist's goal at 1:56 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 27, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Allen (28 saves, .966), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Perron1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Allen28 saves, .966

- ★★★J. Gaudreau1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-04:06
2-011:43
2-116:49
3rd period
3-11:56
Penalties
1st
- 10:06
Sam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
- 16:42
Patrick Maroon · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
- 19:00
David Perron · Trippingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
2nd
- 13:51
Joel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
- 15:09
Sean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
3rd
- 5:01
Robert Bortuzzo · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Oskar Sundqvist, 3rd 1:56 — 72% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.43 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.8
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.2
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 2.79
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 12
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 6
- 12
- Giveaways
- 21
- 10
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






