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Flames at Blues
NHL

Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸7
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV FS-MW, SNW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the St. Louis Blues 7-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 10:15 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 55% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 29, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Jordan Binnington stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY4161924729
STLSTL0621606228

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(15)PPG
    M. Giordano (29), E. Lindholm (19)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    5:58
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(17)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:15
  3. CGY
    M. Giordano(6)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (30), M. Tkachuk (25)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    16:47
  4. CGY
    A. Quine(2)
    N. Hanifin (12), M. Jankowski (8)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    18:25

2nd period

  1. STL
    O. Sundqvist(5)
    J. Nolan (2), V. Dunn (10)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    2:29
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(14)
    D. Ryan (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    5:26
  3. STL
    T. Bozak(4)
    V. Dunn (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    18:14

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(15)EN
    S. Monahan (19), E. Lindholm (20)
    wristxG 0.61
    6-2
    16:53
  2. CGY
    A. Quine(3)PPG
    A. Czarnik (4), T. Brodie (11)
    wristxG 0.04
    7-2
    18:44

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·STL 18 PIM

1st

  • 5:38STLPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 10:08CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 16:31STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 10:42CGYJames Neal · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 16:04STLTyler Bozak · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

3rd

  • 17:20STLJordan Nolan · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 17:20STLJordan Nolan · Misconductdrawn by Rasmus Andersson10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCGY goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 1st 10:15 — CGY 55% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.38T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.19T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSTL
2.96 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.83 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY50%50%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
3/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
18
7
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
10
15
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD112+130.10120—22:53
7T. BrodieD011000.00020—21:03
55N. HanifinD011030.10000—21:00
13J. GaudreauL213+250.81000—19:40
24T. HamonicD000+210.06020—19:14
23S. MonahanC011+110.060004018:47
28E. LindholmC123+320.260007518:31
11M. BacklundC000010.121007018:10
19M. TkachukL112060.860023318:07
4R. AnderssonD000020.01010—16:21
58O. KylingtonD000+100.00000—15:57
21G. HathawayR000-200.00310—14:11
77M. JankowskiL011+100.040104314:06
10D. RyanC011000.000006913:21
18J. NealL000010.04002—12:56
27A. CzarnikC011+100.08020011:33
89A. QuineC202040.360102511:17
39K. RychelL000-100.00200—09:29
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)28262.9292.23+0.2359:24

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).