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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Weber's goal at 10:06 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.5 to 1.3; shots on goal were OTT 18, MTL 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Mike McKenna stopped 42 of 46 (.913), 1.4 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Shea Weber (1 G), 3. Brendan Gallagher.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    S. Weber1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT181307218
MTLMTL112016419547

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Peca(3)
    K. Agostino (9), B. Kulak (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:39
  2. OTT
    C. White(9)
    B. Tkachuk (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:59

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Boedker(5)
    M. Stone (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:11

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi(4)
    A. Lehkonen (12), J. Petry (18)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:06
  2. MTL
    S. Weber(4)
    A. Shaw (11), P. Danault (16)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    10:06
  3. MTL
    P. Byron(7)
    J. Kotkaniemi (13), A. Lehkonen (13)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:37
  4. MTL
    J. Drouin(11)EN
    M. Domi (19), M. Peca (7)
    wristxG 0.92
    2-5
    17:31

Penalties

OTT 12 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:34OTTColin White · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 13:14OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min
  • 14:26MTLTomas Tatar · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 16:35OTTserved by N. Paul · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:43MTLAndrew Shaw · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Falk2 min
  • 18:43OTTJustin Falk · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

3rd

  • 3:08MTLJordie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 3:25MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Embellishmentdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 3:25OTTThomas Chabot · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 7:57OTTDrake Batherson · Cross checkingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Weber, 3rd 10:06 — MTL 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.92S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.19P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.19M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.18M. Peca · Goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.12P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.11B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.10P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.09A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.07P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.07M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.04A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.02A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 3.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.32 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.12 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT25%75%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.30 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
18
Shots on goal
47
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
32
25
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD000020.06130—23:54
72T. ChabotD000-210.13204—22:49
58M. LajoieD000-200.00350—20:11
71C. TierneyC000-300.000104719:58
67B. HarpurD000000.00210—19:30
18R. DzingelC000-130.15210017:49
61M. StoneR011+100.00240—17:16
15Z. SmithC000-100.061004716:56
83C. JarosD000-230.05430—16:34
56M. PaajarviL000-100.00110—15:43
36C. WhiteC101030.261224515:34
9B. RyanR000-210.21200—15:20
42J. FalkD000000.00332—13:59
7B. TkachukL011000.00100—12:59
89M. BoedkerL101-310.09000—12:21
79D. BathersonR000-110.09012—11:44
10T. PyattL000010.01000—08:54
13N. PaulL000+120.170004008:42
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33M. McKenna(L)46424.9132.59-1.4159:53

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).