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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV SN360, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Mark Stone scoring at 2:30. The Senators came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 2:30 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 27, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Carey Price stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.0 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Paul Byron (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Stone2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Byron1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL315040701327
OTTOTT113290814434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Domi(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    3:40
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:05
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:14
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    16:07

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    9:41
  2. OTT
    B. Ryan (3), M. Stone (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    12:01

Overtime

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.06win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:30

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:24OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 2:56OTTChris Wideman · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Peca2 min
  • 11:34MTLBrendan Gallagher · Boardingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 19:39MTLNoah Juulsen · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min

2nd

  • 10:23MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 14:20OTTChristian Jaros · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 10:29MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, OT 2:30 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.37R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.31C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.20M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.14R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.13C. White · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.10R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.10R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.09C. White · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.06M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
1.63 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL27%73%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
33
11
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD011-110.30412—23:40
28M. ReillyD000+120.02010—23:34
8J. BennD000-110.02000—18:49
92J. DrouinL011010.0710010018:12
58N. JuulsenD000+200.00132—18:03
13M. DomiC101-120.121004717:33
61X. OuelletD000-120.02300—17:14
62A. LehkonenL011+110.03002—17:12
40J. ArmiaR011050.29210—17:05
41P. ByronL112020.370006717:01
27K. AlznerD000-100.00030—16:59
24P. DanaultC101-150.091004416:15
15J. KotkaniemiC011+100.001003314:58
11B. GallagherR000-140.25302—14:40
90T. TatarL000-100.03010—14:35
65A. ShawR000000.00300—13:29
63M. PecaC000010.003103310:32
20N. DeslauriersL000000.00400—10:01
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(O)34304.8822.97-1.0362:30

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).