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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 8:07 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 31, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (2 G, 2 A), 2. Travis Zajac (1 G, 1 A), 3. Damon Severson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Hall2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Zajac1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT111010110231
NJDNJD11511624435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.33win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:28
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel(8)PPG
    S. Crosby (10), E. Malkin (14)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    13:57

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall (14), J. Bratt (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:06

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (11), P. Kessel (11)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    4:04
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.17win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    8:07
  3. NJD
    T. Hall(5)EN
    wristxG 0.82win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:33

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:04PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 13:12NJDStefan Noesen · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 17:09NJDAndy Greene · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 4:48NJDBen Lovejoy · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:20PITPhil Kessel · Roughingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 14:20PITPhil Kessel · Roughingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 14:20NJDBrett Seney · Roughingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, 3rd 8:07 — NJD 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.82T. Zajac · Goal · xG 0.33D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.24M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.22T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.17K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.10P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.09M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.03W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.00B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
2.22 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT48%52%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
3
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-450.19330—25:37
71E. MalkinC011-120.260024321:43
87S. CrosbyC022-230.230004621:32
3O. MaattaD000+120.09220—20:42
73J. JohnsonD000-200.00310—20:06
8B. DumoulinD000-110.04100—19:49
72P. HornqvistR000-130.20400—19:23
81P. KesselR112-220.20104—19:23
59J. GuentzelC101-210.21100016:16
6J. OleksiakD000+100.02400—15:01
62C. HagelinL000010.15110—14:23
2C. RuhwedelD000040.10100—13:35
12D. SimonC000-110.1300010013:32
15R. SheahanC000-110.081106013:03
17B. RustR000-110.05100—12:42
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.002005011:58
7M. CullenC000030.240005809:28
10G. WilsonL000010.01700—09:09
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)34313.9122.39-0.6158:38

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).