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New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Boyle's goal at 12:27 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.3, PIT 2.4; shots on goal were NJD 39, PIT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brian Boyle (3 G), 2. Will Butcher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jean-Sebastien Dea (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    B. Boyle3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    W. Butcher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Dea2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD214213112539
PITPIT111014011136

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:24
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:24
  3. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:27

2nd period

  1. NJD
    B. Boyle(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    7:38
  2. NJD
    B. Boyle(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    19:40

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    0:19

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:09PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:55NJDTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 7:31PITOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 9:44NJDJoey Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Juuso Riikola2 min
  • 19:08PITPatric Hornqvist · High stickingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 19:08NJDMirco Mueller · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:08PITJack Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Mirco Mueller2 min

3rd

  • 11:27PITEvgeni Malkin · Holdingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 18:20NJDBrian Boyle · Hookingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNJD goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Brian Boyle, 1st 12:27 — NJD 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.11K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.09M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.05R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT1 G · 2.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPIT
2.35 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPIT
39
Shots on goal
36
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
44
Hits
49
22
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD000-120.10040—21:34
25M. MuellerD000-110.04532—20:27
6A. GreeneD000+130.09140—19:36
28D. SeversonD011+110.14310—18:52
8W. ButcherD112+220.14130—18:43
21K. PalmieriC022000.04310017:53
12B. LovejoyD011+240.04320—17:47
9T. HallL011040.27012—17:40
19T. ZajacC101+140.361106417:10
13N. HischierC000010.110004817:05
44M. WoodL000+130.15300—15:28
90M. JohanssonL011+110.0220010015:15
20B. ColemanL000040.08310—15:01
43B. SeneyL000010.023103013:56
11B. BoyleC303+140.348024013:30
18D. StaffordR000020.22300—12:06
10J. DeaC022+110.051003011:32
49J. AndersonR011+110.14402—10:45
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(W)36351.9722.38+1.3860:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).