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Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 3:19 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were MIN 43, ANA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 20 of 21 (.952); John Gibson stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Zucker (1 G, 2 A), 3. Pontus Aberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Granlund2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    P. Aberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN119214210543
ANAANA051907121

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:48

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:19
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:17
  3. ANA
    P. Aberg(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    16:53

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    10:06
  2. MIN
    backhandxG 0.11
    5-1
    16:03

Penalties

MIN 9 PIM·ANA 13 PIM

1st

  • 7:05ANAPatrick Eaves · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Seeler4 min
  • 11:48MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 11:48ANALuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 17:42ANANick Ritchie · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

2nd

  • 7:54MINMathew Dumba · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 15:38MINRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min

3rd

  • 11:51ANALuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 2nd 3:19 — MIN 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Street · On goal · xG 0.15J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10P. Aberg · Goal · xG 0.10H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.09P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.07R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 1.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
3.75 G
All situations
1 G1.2
2.95 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN88%12%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 1.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
43
Shots on goal
21
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
15
Hits
35
11
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
15
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000010.01002—24:24
24M. DumbaD000050.41002—24:06
46J. SpurgeonD022+440.24120—19:53
11Z. PariseL000+120.27120—18:06
22N. NiederreiterR000+130.20000—17:42
9M. KoivuC000+110.020005217:39
25J. BrodinD112+450.20200—17:07
29G. PaterynD000+100.00120—16:29
64M. GranlundC213+320.42000016:07
16J. ZuckerL123+350.65100—15:56
3C. CoyleC011+110.091005015:55
12E. StaalC011+360.670006415:42
36N. SeelerD000+100.00120—15:05
21E. FehrC000020.182205813:38
14J. Eriksson EkC011+120.052106713:05
17M. FolignoL000020.13205—13:00
23J. BrownR000010.10100—11:35
18J. GreenwayL101+110.04000—11:20
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)21201.9521.21+0.2159:56

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).