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Devils at Senators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
3
Ottawa Senators
▸7
FinalTV MSG+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 7-3. The Senators came back from two goals down. The Senators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin White's goal at 2:27 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were NJD 39, OTT 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.9 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 3 A), 2. Colin White (2 G), 3. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Stone2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. White2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21409116339
OTTOTT216310216742

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(3)
    N. Hischier (8), A. Greene (3)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:14
  2. NJD
    K. Palmieri(10)
    B. Lovejoy (3), N. Hischier (9)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:20
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot(4)
    B. Ryan (5), C. Tierney (11)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    12:05
  4. OTT
    M. Stone(5)
    M. Duchene (9), R. Dzingel (5)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    12:58

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. White(4)
    M. Stone (10), N. Paul (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    2:27
  2. OTT
    M. Stone(6)
    M. Duchene (10), T. Chabot (15)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    7:35
  3. OTT
    C. White(5)PPG
    M. Stone (11), T. Chabot (16)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    2-5
    17:44

3rd period

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(6)
    M. Stone (12)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    10:11
  2. NJD
    T. Zajac(5)
    B. Coleman (1), S. Vatanen (6)
    wristxG 0.02
    3-6
    14:13
  3. OTT
    M. Paajarvi(1)EN
    C. Tierney (12), M. Duchene (11)
    wristxG 0.67
    3-7
    18:01

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:51NJDMiles Wood · Holdingdrawn by Christian Jaros2 min
  • 14:26NJDBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 16:37NJDMiles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Colin White2 min

3rd

  • 2:40OTTColin White · High stickingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 11:37NJDBlake Coleman · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 15:45OTTMatt Duchene · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Colin White, 2nd 2:27 — OTT 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Paajarvi · Goal · xG 0.67M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.22M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15C. White · Goal · xG 0.13R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.13B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.12B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.10C. White · Goal · xG 0.10C. White · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.07C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03M. McCormick · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00J. Rodewald · Missed · xG 0.00M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT7 G · 3.6 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
2.43 G
All situations
6 G3.6
2.13 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD43%57%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
39
Shots on goal
42
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. GreeneD011010.04420—21:05
8W. ButcherD000000.00110—19:59
45S. VatanenD011-210.02110—19:45
9T. HallL101+130.12110—19:29
13N. HischierC022+240.271106119:01
28D. SeversonD000-210.14100—18:56
12B. LovejoyD011010.01110—18:50
25M. MuellerD000-220.12010—18:09
21K. PalmieriC101+260.6020010017:58
19T. ZajacC101-320.112004417:04
20B. ColemanL011040.330045015:19
11B. BoyleC000-220.142208015:17
43B. SeneyL000-110.032001713:50
18D. StaffordR000-210.0140010013:34
49J. AndersonR000-240.08120—12:43
90M. JohanssonL000-330.33100—12:13
10J. DeaC000-120.052206411:33
44M. WoodL000-110.01104—10:18
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid19172.8951.08-0.9230:15
35C. Schneider(L)22184.8181.77-2.2327:35

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).