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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 13:20 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were NYI 22, PHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 22 of 23 (.957); Michal Neuvirth stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G, 3 A), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G), 3. Adam Pelech (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Pelech1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI271936622
PHIPHI081708123

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:38
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:20

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey (6), A. Lee (4)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    4:58
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    6:28

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    8:17
  2. NYI
    A. Lee (6)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    8:58
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.16
    6-1
    11:09

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:23NYIBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 17:36NYIJordan Eberle · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

2nd

  • 0:06PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:23PHIJakub Voracek · High stickingdrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min

3rd

  • 3:06NYIScott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 10:37PHIJakub Voracek · High stickingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 1st 13:20 — NYI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.19J. Lehtera · Goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.08N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.07C. Knight · Missed · xG 0.07D. Weise · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.04C. Folin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Vorobyev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.02C. Folin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.00C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.4 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
2.16 G
All situations
1 G1.4
1.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI65%35%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 1.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
22
Shots on goal
23
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
31
20
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000+120.07010—21:23
6R. PulockD000+110.03140—20:42
55J. BoychukD000+220.03420—19:35
24S. MayfieldD000+110.04242—19:05
12J. BaileyR022+210.06100—18:58
4T. HickeyD000+110.00320—18:06
3A. PelechD112+220.03010—18:04
29B. NelsonC202+230.730024417:19
16A. LaddL011+100.01010—17:00
13M. BarzalC022010.160102916:56
27A. LeeL134+340.31000—16:50
47L. KomarovR101+110.07200—15:17
7J. EberleR011000.140125015:10
18A. BeauvillierR101010.40110—14:47
51V. FilppulaC000+100.000004313:54
53C. CizikasC000+120.060105613:29
17M. MartinL000+100.00810—11:24
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.005005006:22
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)23221.9571.42+0.4259:39

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).