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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV FS-D, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Glendening's goal at 6:20 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 30% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were DET 30, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (29 saves, .967), 2. Steven Stamkos (1 G), 3. Jimmy Howard (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Howard28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0811606130
TBLTBL11316112331

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(4)
    Y. Gourde (3), O. Palat (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:33

2nd period

  1. DET
    L. Glendening(1)
    T. Daley (1), J. Abdelkader (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:20
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(1)
    N. Kucherov (3), M. Sergachev (3)
    wristxG 0.10
    1-2
    15:19

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(2)EN
    R. McDonagh (2)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    18:53

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:19DETNiklas Kronwall · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 9:36DETLuke Glendening · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 18:50TBLJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

2nd

  • 3:56TBLJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Luke Witkowski2 min
  • 12:08DETTyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 12:08TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 12:08TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 15:33TBLOndrej Palat · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 4:13DETChristoffer Ehn · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 7:40DETNiklas Kronwall · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 19:21TBLBraydon Coburn · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Glendening, 2nd 6:20 — DET 30% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.44C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.24A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.20S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · Goal · xG 0.15M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.12T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · Missed · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.10M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
1.81 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET28%72%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
30
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
83T. DaleyD011-130.19020—23:02
71D. LarkinC000020.011203822:43
21D. CholowskiD000-120.11000—21:58
3N. JensenD000-100.00010—21:12
51F. NielsenC000-220.123006019:46
14G. NyquistR000010.08110—19:33
55N. KronwallD000-130.06124—19:24
72A. AthanasiouC000-130.210005018:32
2J. HickettsD000020.05320—16:08
59T. BertuzziL000-100.001123315:39
43D. HelmC000000.181106014:45
41L. GlendeningC101-120.212225414:29
39A. ManthaR000-140.1801010013:13
8J. AbdelkaderL011010.131006713:02
26T. VanekL000-120.19000—12:50
28L. WitkowskiD000020.03220—10:34
27M. RasmussenC000000.00010009:56
70C. EhnC000010.0901210006:48
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)30282.9333.10+1.1058:26

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).