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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Los Angeles Kings
▸3
FinalTV PRIME, ALT·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Clifford's goal at 2:00 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 28, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alec Martinez (1 A), 2. Dustin Brown (1 G), 3. Jonathan Quick (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Martinez1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    J. Quick27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL07110011128
LAKLAK2501119325

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    T. Mitchell(6)
    N. Thompson (12), D. Doughty (49)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:29
  2. LAK
    D. Brown(24)SHG
    A. Kopitar (56), A. Martinez (15)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    12:32

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Kerfoot(19)PPG
    S. Andrighetto (14), C. Wilson (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    4:31

3rd period

  1. LAK
    K. Clifford(6)
    T. Lewis (12), A. Kempe (21)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    2:00

Penalties

COL 9 PIM·LAK 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:49LAKDion Phaneuf · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 9:49COLNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf5 min
  • 11:51LAKChristian Folin · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 17:57LAKDion Phaneuf · Boardingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 2:51LAKTorrey Mitchell · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 7:01COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

3rd

  • 19:35COLBlake Comeau · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Clifford, 3rd 2:00 — LAK 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.73T. Mitchell · Goal · xG 0.20K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.12J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.12T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09T. Mitchell · Missed · xG 0.07M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.04T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
1.61 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL43%57%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
45
12
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
17
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD000-220.08200—26:18
49S. GirardD000040.04100—22:55
96M. RantanenR000-120.19010—20:57
29N. MacKinnonC000-120.232025020:48
92G. LandeskogL000-110.130004419:51
12P. NemethD000010.01200—19:19
16N. ZadorovD000-120.04225—19:14
34C. SoderbergC000020.140005817:55
83M. NietoL000010.08110—16:28
17T. JostC000-210.05010015:58
13A. KerfootC101-130.100003615:33
14B. ComeauL000010.07402—15:23
10S. AndrighettoR011-150.28100—14:18
5D. WarsofskyD000-100.05040—12:56
37J. CompherL000-100.120005012:29
7M. AltD000-110.02020—10:56
22C. WilsonC011-100.0001010009:26
57G. BourqueL000-100.0050010009:23
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)25223.8801.95-1.0557:28

Season series

LAK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).