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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV FS-W, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Muzzin's goal at 7:54 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 35, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (4 G), 2. Tobias Rieder (2 G), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar4 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    T. Rieder2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK31521327735
COLCOL19011010130

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:33
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:28
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:54
  4. LAK
    A. Kopitar(31)PPG
    D. Brown (30), J. Muzzin (34)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    19:44

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    0:47
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    12:27

3rd period

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07
    6-1
    3:28
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.13
    7-1
    9:31

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:14COLNikita Zadorov · Hookingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 1:20LAKKyle Clifford · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 18:10COLPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Torrey Mitchell2 min
  • 19:34LAKDrew Doughty · Holdingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

3rd

  • 4:59LAKNate Thompson · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Muzzin, 1st 7:54 — LAK 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.24M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.20N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.13C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.09P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Siemens · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01D. Siemens · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01D. Siemens · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
2.17 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.86 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
35
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
3
1
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+410.04222—23:54
24D. ForbortD011+320.04220—23:29
11A. KopitarC404+370.661004720:31
23D. BrownR022+350.17100—20:12
6J. MuzzinD112+210.02000—19:26
27A. MartinezD000010.00130—19:23
5C. FolinD011+210.03310—17:10
3D. PhaneufD000-110.02210—16:49
70T. PearsonL000+110.01200—15:42
77J. CarterC011+110.111105915:06
19A. IafalloL000+220.09110—14:00
10T. RiederL202+150.28300—13:45
71T. MitchellC000000.002005013:39
44N. ThompsonC022+200.001025013:25
52M. AmadioR000020.20000—12:15
73T. ToffoliC011+130.08000012:13
9A. KempeR000+100.00000—12:11
13K. CliffordL000020.34202—10:50
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)30291.9672.37+1.3760:00

Season series

LAK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).