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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, NBCSCA·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Ellis's goal at 10:06 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 4.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were SJS 42, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Ellis (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juuse Saros (39 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Ellis1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros39 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS2909124342
NSHNSH21411127532

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Turris(15)
    P. Subban (40), C. Smith (24)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:26
  2. SJS
    L. Couture(32)
    B. Burns (52), M. Boedker (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:55
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(29)
    F. Forsberg (35), R. Johansen (36)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:14
  4. SJS
    B. Dillon(5)
    J. Hansen (12)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    12:05

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(22)
    K. Fiala (24), R. Ellis (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    10:38

3rd period

  1. SJS
    M. Boedker(15)
    C. Tierney (23), T. Meier (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    5:54
  2. NSH
    R. Ellis(9)
    F. Forsberg (36), V. Arvidsson (31)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +31 pts
    3-4
    10:06
  3. NSH
    N. Bonino(11)EN
    F. Forsberg (37)
    snapxG 0.60win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:43

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·NSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 12:46NSHKevin Fiala · Interferencedrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 13:26SJSEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min

2nd

  • 4:52SJSJoe Pavelski · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 6:11SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 7:23NSHRyan Johansen · High stickingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 11:51SJSBrent Burns · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:04NSHRyan Hartman · Slashingdrawn by Paul Martin2 min
  • 18:51SJSMelker Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 1:48NSHserved by S. Hartnell · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:52NSHMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 16:50NSHP.K. Subban · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:07NSHRyan Ellis · Ps net displaced0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Ellis, 3rd 10:06 — NSH 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.60M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.20V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.09R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.09V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.08R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.07S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Ellis · Goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.02A. Emelin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
4.83 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
2.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS83%17%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.62 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
42
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/6
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
12
12
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
25
12
Giveaways
24
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011-150.37222—27:31
9E. KaneL000-170.662025022:48
44M. VlasicD000020.02010—22:13
39L. CoutureC101-130.420226521:55
8J. PavelskiC000-240.681028121:42
50C. TierneyC011-120.470105618:36
28T. MeierR011-150.93000—18:34
61J. BraunD000-100.00210—17:15
48T. HertlC000040.370003316:56
62K. LabancR000-120.07000—15:46
4B. DillonD101-110.02220—15:44
7P. MartinD000000.00010—14:24
89M. BoedkerL112+120.15000—13:26
74D. DeMeloD000-100.00000—13:03
68M. KarlssonC000-120.13102009:35
42J. WardR000000.001003308:11
36J. HansenR011010.15100—07:15
20M. SorensenL000020.37000—07:02
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)31274.8712.31-1.6958:04

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).