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Sharks at Flames
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
▸7
Calgary Flames
4
FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Sharks led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evander Kane's goal at 16:32 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.0, CGY 2.9; shots on goal were SJS 28, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 4.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (4 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Micheal Ferland (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Kane4 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Ferland1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS14414210728
CGYCGY19212113434

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    E. Kane(22)
    J. Hansen (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:00
  2. CGY
    T. Brouwer(6)
    C. Lazar (7), M. Stajan (7)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:42

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Jankowski(13)
    G. Hathaway (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:10
  2. SJS
    E. Kane(23)
    D. DeMelo (16), B. Dillon (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:29
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(23)
    M. Ferland (18), M. Stone (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    10:16
  4. SJS
    K. Labanc(10)
    B. Burns (45)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    11:42
  5. SJS
    E. Kane(24)
    C. Tierney (19)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +22 pts
    4-3
    16:32
  6. SJS
    T. Hertl(19)
    J. Braun (26), M. Vlasic (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    18:02

3rd period

  1. SJS
    E. Kane(25)
    J. Pavelski (39)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    6-3
    1:02
  2. CGY
    M. Ferland(21)
    S. Monahan (33), D. Hamilton (26)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    6-4
    14:25
  3. SJS
    E. Fehr(2)EN
    T. Hertl (21)
    wristxG 0.67win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    16:02

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:37CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min

2nd

  • 2:45CGYBrett Kulak · Holding the stickdrawn by Melker Karlsson2 min
  • 12:24SJSChris Tierney · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 13:40SJSEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Evander Kane, 2nd 16:32 — SJS 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.38S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.20J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.15D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.14M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.11M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.10M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.07M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.00M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.9 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
3.06 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.16 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS39%61%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
22
13
Giveaways
18
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011000.03000—24:33
44M. VlasicD011+220.07010—22:54
61J. BraunD011+220.02110—22:00
8J. PavelskiC011+120.162103519:18
47J. RyanD000+100.00120—19:09
9E. KaneL404+270.900023318:35
39L. CoutureC000+300.00010017:24
48T. HertlC112+220.121005414:55
4B. DillonD011010.02310—14:37
50C. TierneyC011-120.282026714:33
23B. GoodrowC000000.002006114:14
16E. FehrC101+120.731202713:49
68M. KarlssonC000010.15100013:49
28T. MeierR000-130.331105013:25
36J. HansenR011+120.08000—13:16
89M. BoedkerL000+200.06000—13:15
74D. DeMeloD011+100.00000—13:14
62K. LabancR101-120.02010—13:00
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)34304.8822.86-1.1460:00

Season series

SJS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).