San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joonas Donskoi's goal at 17:12 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 29, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Frolik (1 G), 2. Chris Tierney (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joonas Donskoi (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Frolik1 G

- ★★C. Tierney1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Donskoi1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-14:42
1-116:07
2nd period
2-110:00
3rd period
2-27:39
3-217:12
Penalties
1st
- 11:02
Dougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Melker Karlsson2 min
- 12:10
Kevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
2nd
- 1:08
Tomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
- 2:31
Brenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 4:03
Dougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
- 9:06
Mike Smith · Trippingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Joonas Donskoi, 3rd 17:12 — 48% → 93%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.43 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.7
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.70
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 7
- Hits
- 20
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 10
- Giveaways
- 5
- 6
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
SJS leads 4-0
3@
2this game
2@
3SOFinal
7@
4Final
1@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






