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St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Sobotka's goal at 16:50 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were STL 23, ANA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (2 A), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Montour (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Montour1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1102914423
ANAANA071718222

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:30

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:00
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:17
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    16:50

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.00win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    6:15
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    11:28

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 4:53STLDmitrij Jaskin · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa2 min
  • 12:43ANAFrancois Beauchemin · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Sobotka, 2nd 16:50 — STL 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.21C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.05C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
2.44 G
All situations
2 G1.2
1.74 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL64%36%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 1.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
23
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000+110.04420—26:22
27A. PietrangeloD022+100.02040—25:10
17J. SchwartzL000030.13220—21:21
10B. SchennC011+140.342003120:26
4C. GunnarssonD000-100.00020—19:37
91V. TarasenkoR000+120.1510010018:48
20A. SteenL000-100.00200—18:41
41R. BortuzzoD101+220.11010—18:16
29V. DunnD000+100.06020—17:37
23D. JaskinR000020.09212—15:44
71V. SobotkaC101+130.393106714:52
28K. BrodziakC011-100.550206414:29
21P. BerglundC101-110.150105014:04
32T. ThompsonC000000.05100012:37
43J. SchmaltzD011010.02210—11:40
49I. BarbashevL112+220.302108011:06
90N. SoshnikovR011+310.01100—09:53
22C. ThorburnR000+110.02000—07:17
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)22202.9091.23-0.7760:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).