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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV FS-MW, PRIME·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Roy's goal at 0:33 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were ANA 30, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. John Gibson stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (37 saves, .949), 2. Antoine Vermette (2 G), 3. Kyle Brodziak (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson37 saves, .949
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Vermette2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    K. Brodziak2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11021307330
STLSTL012016211239

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    A. Vermette(4)
    K. Roy (1), F. Beauchemin (3)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:17

2nd period

  1. ANA
    K. Roy(2)PPG
    J. Silfverberg (6), C. Fowler (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    0:33
  2. ANA
    A. Vermette(5)PPG
    C. Wagner (9), K. Bieksa (3)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    3:01

3rd period

  1. STL
    K. Brodziak(4)
    D. Jaskin (5), J. Edmundson (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    16:12
  2. STL
    K. Brodziak(5)
    V. Sobotka (9), C. Parayko (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    3-2
    19:43

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·STL 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:09ANAAntoine Vermette · Interferencedrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 11:00STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 14:02ANAAntoine Vermette · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 19:44STLPatrik Berglund · Trippingdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min

2nd

  • 1:55STLPatrik Berglund · Interferencedrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 13:17ANACorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 15:19STLVladimir Sobotka · High sticking double minordrawn by Kevin Bieksa4 min

3rd

  • 3:25STLBrayden Schenn · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 13:25ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Roy, 2nd 0:33 — ANA 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.22C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.15K. Brodziak · Goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.15P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.14K. Brodziak · Goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.10P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.10R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.08V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02S. Upshall · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
1.73 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.72 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA28%72%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
24
21
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000010.03150—23:54
21C. WagnerR011-120.212105622:15
45S. VatanenD000+120.08210—21:43
4C. FowlerD011-110.03032—20:52
10C. PerryR000-110.01012—20:39
42J. MansonD000000.00230—20:32
63K. RoyC112+130.27000017:36
7A. CoglianoC000-140.140103317:11
37N. RitchieL000-140.2230010017:08
3K. BieksaD011-210.02120—17:08
50A. VermetteC202+120.361046316:46
23F. BeaucheminD011030.02220—16:22
38D. GrantC000-100.000104614:42
33J. SilfverbergR011040.22010—14:01
48L. ShawR000010.10000—13:49
83K. KossilaC000010.010006708:19
51M. LiambasL000000.00100—04:37
5K. HolzerD000000.00000—04:36
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)39372.9492.93+0.9359:50

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).