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New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maxim Mamin's goal at 8:38 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 31, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 2. Roberto Luongo (29 saves, .935), 3. Cory Schneider (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Luongo29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    C. Schneider26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD08113110231
FLAFLA17010212329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:51

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    0:50

3rd period

  1. FLA
    J. McCann (11), A. Ekblad (14)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    8:38
  2. FLA
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    16:26
  3. NJD
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    2-3
    17:53

Penalties

NJD 9 PIM·FLA 9 PIM

1st

  • 1:54NJDPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min
  • 1:54FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 16:05FLAMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 18:56FLANick Bjugstad · Interferencedrawn by Andy Greene2 min

2nd

  • 8:24NJDJohn Moore · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 9:47NJDBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Radim Vrbata2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNJD goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Maxim Mamin, 3rd 8:38 — FLA 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.69J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.24E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.20N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.18N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.15J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09M. Mamin · Missed · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.04M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02M. Mamin · Goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.01J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.00M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Mamin · Missed · xG 0.00K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsFLA
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
29
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
23
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
30
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD011-120.11210—23:40
28D. SeversonD000-100.00020—22:19
19T. ZajacC000-100.130006321:13
9T. HallL101-230.14310—20:43
2J. MooreD000-140.11212—20:06
21K. PalmieriC000-100.18100017:55
6A. GreeneD000-120.03030—17:35
8W. ButcherD000000.00010—17:34
40M. GrabnerL000-120.2110010017:12
23S. NoesenR000-110.08000—16:10
12B. LovejoyD000020.13220—15:56
13N. HischierC000-210.011104015:40
11B. BoyleC000+110.085002514:15
17P. MaroonL022+130.18205—13:16
63J. BrattL101+110.05000—12:01
37P. ZachaC000020.072003111:40
44M. WoodL000050.53000—11:29
20B. ColemanL000020.0721210009:53
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)29263.8972.16-0.8457:23

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).