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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV FS-F, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Florida Panthers 2-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 7:20 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 14% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.3; shots on goal were FLA 33, NJD 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. James Reimer stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected; Cory Schneider stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cory Schneider (32 saves, .970), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 3. Damon Severson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    C. Schneider32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0719017133
NJDNJD1511204221

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:59

2nd period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:58
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:20

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:07NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by James Reimer2 min
  • 16:26NJDTaylor Hall · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 16:40FLAEvgenii Dadonov · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 18:19NJDJesper Bratt · Hookingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

2nd

  • 3:23FLAConnor Brickley · Interferencedrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 4:46FLAMicheal Haley · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 2:10NJDDamon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min
  • 9:48FLAIan McCoshen · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 9:48NJDStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Ian McCoshen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 2nd 7:20 — FLA 14% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.18D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.14S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.3 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
3.41 G
All situations
2 G1.3
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
1.80 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA84%16%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 1.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
33
Shots on goal
21
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/4
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21V. TrocheckC000-130.392006526:33
3K. YandleD000-120.06000—25:56
5A. EkbladD000-140.24020—25:29
16A. BarkovC000030.461007123:23
11J. HuberdeauL000040.5200010021:55
63E. DadonovL000010.12002—21:03
13M. PysykD000+110.15020—20:41
19M. MathesonD011+140.28000—20:16
71R. VrbataR000010.13000—16:31
27N. BjugstadC101+150.511108014:52
73D. HuntL000-110.05210—13:58
88J. McGinnL000+120.32310—12:14
12I. McCoshenD000000.06212—11:55
7C. SceviourC000010.14200011:42
52M. WeegarD000010.02300—11:32
18M. HaleyL000000.00112—07:33
23C. BrickleyL000000.00002—07:09
17D. MacKenzieC000000.00000001:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(L)21192.9051.27-0.7357:49

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).