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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV FS-SE, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 5:39 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 64% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 35, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Williams (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Williams2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11221617435
PHIPHI070718122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(11)
    J. Skinner (19), J. Slavin (14)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    4:40

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(17)
    S. Aho (27), J. Faulk (18)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:39
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(12)
    B. Pesce (13), J. Staal (21)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:42

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(16)
    S. Couturier (33), C. Giroux (53)
    tip-inxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:20
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(23)
    J. Williams (29)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    14:23

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:39PHITaylor Leier · High stickingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 2:25CARDerek Ryan · High stickingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 4:48PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 4:48CARJeff Skinner · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

3rd

  • 12:02CARNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 2nd 5:39 — CAR 64% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.18V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.17R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.14T. Leier · On goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.13V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.11D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.11O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01D. Weise · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
2.84 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.74 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR61%39%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
22
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+120.02120—24:08
22B. PesceD011+210.02110—21:47
27J. FaulkD011+130.21100—20:23
11J. StaalC011+110.113106518:07
57T. van RiemsdykD000+100.00100—17:48
28E. LindholmC000-120.412102017:33
23B. McGinnL000+130.28110—17:16
5N. HanifinD000+130.26002—17:08
4H. FleuryD000030.05000—17:04
14J. WilliamsR213+320.30000—15:54
86T. TeravainenC101050.28000015:35
20S. AhoC112+130.15010015:19
53J. SkinnerL011+140.42012—14:14
7D. RyanC000+100.001027513:38
21L. StempniakR000000.04100—13:25
34P. Di GiuseppeL000000.10110—11:50
49V. RaskC000+110.0700010011:30
71L. WallmarkC000020.060103311:21
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(W)22211.9552.17+1.1760:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).