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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSP·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first; the Flyers answered. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valtteri Filppula's goal at 14:11 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 27, CAR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Cam Ward stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Voracek (1 G), 2. Valtteri Filppula (1 G), 3. Jaccob Slavin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Voracek1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    V. Filppula1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0110749427
CARCAR1110816225

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(16)
    J. Slavin (16), T. Teravainen (36)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:12

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(19)
    T. Sanheim (6), W. Simmonds (19)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +29 pts
    1-1
    8:19
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(7)
    S. Aho (31), J. Staal (23)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    10:04
  3. PHI
    J. Voracek(17)
    O. Lindblom (1), N. Patrick (14)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    11:58
  4. PHI
    V. Filppula(11)
    W. Simmonds (20)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +39 pts
    3-2
    14:11
  5. PHI
    M. Raffl(11)EN
    S. Couturier (37)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:10

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:08CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 18:21CARElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

2nd

  • 11:20PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 18:32PHIAndrew MacDonald · High sticking double minordrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Valtteri Filppula, 3rd 14:11 — PHI 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.19D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.19N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.17B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.07D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.06J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
2.53 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
27
Shots on goal
25
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
11
15
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000000.06000—23:39
14S. CouturierC011-110.101304722:49
28C. GirouxR000-100.002005620:44
3R. GudasD000+110.05030—20:14
53S. GostisbehereD000-120.05100—19:35
47A. MacDonaldD000+200.00064—18:54
23B. ManningD000+120.03210—18:46
17W. SimmondsR022+230.15320—18:30
51V. FilppulaC101+210.190104017:43
93J. VoracekR101+160.62000—16:20
6T. SanheimD011+110.04002—15:52
12M. RafflL101-140.66330—15:01
11T. KonecnyR101+230.40020—13:21
19N. PatrickC011+110.052005712:51
54O. LindblomL011+110.03010—12:00
24M. ReadR000000.05310—11:58
21S. LaughtonC000000.023003308:03
40J. WealC000010.03010007:43
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49A. Lyon(W)25232.9202.20+0.2059:57

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).