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Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-F, TSN4·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Jared McCann scoring at 3:47. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 3:47 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TOR 2.9, FLA 2.9; shots on goal were TOR 39, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Roberto Luongo stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jared McCann (1 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roberto Luongo (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. McCann1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    R. Luongo37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR0132801503239
FLAFLA191701213331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(21)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (38), V. Trocheck (32)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    11:02

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(19)
    V. Trocheck (33), R. Vrbata (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:42
  2. TOR
    D. Moore(6)
    L. Komarov (11), K. Kapanen (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:53
  3. TOR
    Z. Hyman(12)
    W. Nylander (35)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:34

Overtime

  1. FLA
    J. McCann(7)
    A. Ekblad (13)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:47

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:31FLAJared McCann · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Plekanec2 min
  • 6:37TORTyler Bozak · Interferencedrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 9:44TORTyler Bozak · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

2nd

  • 4:54TORJames van Riemsdyk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:22FLANick Bjugstad · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

3rd

  • 15:57TORWilliam Nylander · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, OT 3:47 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.22J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.20J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.19J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.04M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03R. Vrbata · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
2.92 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR51%49%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
39
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
22
19
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD000-100.04200—24:21
2R. HainseyD000+100.00020—22:57
44M. RiellyD000+160.15000—21:04
51J. GardinerD000040.12000—20:53
16M. MarnerR000-110.03000—20:49
12P. MarleauC000030.470206720:47
43N. KadriC000-130.182005519:48
28C. BrownR000020.4500010016:53
25J. van RiemsdykL000-110.31102—16:37
42T. BozakC000010.050045015:43
23T. DermottD000010.02000—15:43
11Z. HymanL101020.44210—15:22
29W. NylanderR011+120.180024315:21
8C. CarrickD000030.05010—14:57
19T. PlekanecC000020.040007513:29
47L. KomarovR011+120.05110—11:39
24K. KapanenR011+130.12300—11:34
20D. MooreC101+130.2300010006:15
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. McElhinney(O)31283.9032.90-0.1063:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).