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Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸1
FinalTV FS-F, SNO·Air Canada Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Florida Panthers 1-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 19:31 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were FLA 40, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 3.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (40 saves, 1.000), 2. James van Riemsdyk (1 G), 3. Roberto Luongo (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen40 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    R. Luongo30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA013012015040
TORTOR11101505131

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. van Riemsdyk(25)
    T. Bozak (23), J. Gardiner (33)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:31

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:13TORserved by M. Marner · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:50FLAMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 15:21FLANick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

  • 4:18TORPatrick Marleau · Interferencedrawn by Denis Malgin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 1st 19:31 — TOR 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.17C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.15P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.14P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.12P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07D. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.04T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.04P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.04L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
3.80 G
All situations
1 G3.1
2.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA62%38%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.83 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
40
Shots on goal
31
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD000040.09120—25:43
5A. EkbladD000030.60210—24:46
16A. BarkovC000030.341103923:15
21V. TrocheckC000-120.321005022:00
63E. DadonovL000030.61100—20:49
19M. MathesonD000-140.17122—20:34
13M. PysykD000-100.01210—18:46
62D. MalginC000-130.35300018:18
11J. HuberdeauL000-120.10010—17:41
27N. BjugstadC000050.6620210017:39
6A. PetrovicD000010.05200—14:17
12I. McCoshenD000020.07020—13:46
7C. SceviourC000030.17000012:16
88J. McGinnL000010.06010—10:10
90J. McCannL000030.25000—10:05
17D. MacKenzieC000000.001102509:43
23C. BrickleyL000000.00300—09:33
18M. HaleyL000010.01000—07:44
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)31301.9683.10+2.1058:55

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).