Skip to content
Senators at Penguins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸6
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 6-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 5:10 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 33, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 5 of 9 (.556), 3.1 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zachary Aston-Reese (2 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (2 G), 3. Justin Schultz (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Schultz2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01121418333
PITPIT1437217628

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(17)PPG
    J. Schultz (13), E. Malkin (34)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:07

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Brassard(15)
    M. Stone (29), M. Borowiecki (4)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:18
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(18)
    P. Kessel (42), K. Letang (29)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:10
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(31)
    C. Hagelin (13), J. Schultz (14)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:01
  4. PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese(1)
    S. Crosby (44), C. Sheary (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    11:22
  5. OTT
    C. White(2)
    M. McCormick (1), T. Pyatt (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    17:19

3rd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(4)
    B. Dumoulin (5), S. Crosby (45)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:09
  2. OTT
    M. Duchene(14)PPG
    M. Hoffman (23), E. Karlsson (32)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    14:21
  3. PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese(2)EN
    B. Dumoulin (6), S. Crosby (46)
    wristxG 0.75
    3-6
    18:55

Penalties

OTT 7 PIM·PIT 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:26OTTMike Hoffman · Hookingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

3rd

  • 14:00PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 19:36PITIan Cole · Fightingdrawn by Max McCormick5 min
  • 19:36OTTMax McCormick · Fightingdrawn by Ian Cole5 min
  • 19:36PITIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Max McCormick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 5:10 — PIT 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.75J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.36J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.19K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.16R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
2.43 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.12 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT54%46%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
1/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
26
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
21
8
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011-220.07010—27:47
61M. StoneR011-110.15000—21:32
5C. CeciD000-320.24330—21:21
19D. BrassardC101-230.502006121:12
29J. OduyaD000020.05110—20:41
15Z. SmithC000-220.301004020:33
72T. ChabotD000+130.09140—20:15
68M. HoffmanC011-230.16102018:20
74M. BorowieckiD011020.04510—17:38
95M. DucheneC101-240.420107017:36
18R. DzingelC000-110.02010015:20
44J. PageauC000-110.083004014:34
36C. WhiteC101040.191103312:04
49C. DiDomenicoL000-100.00120—12:04
56M. PaajarviL000010.01120—11:14
2D. PhaneufD000-100.00120—10:50
10T. PyattL011010.02200—10:17
89M. McCormickL011+110.023156707:15
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(L)954.5560.85-3.1531:22
41C. Anderson18171.9441.29+0.2927:24

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).