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Sabres at Blackhawks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Chicago Blackhawks
▸3
Final/OTTV MSG-B, NBCSCH+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Gustav Forsling scoring at 4:55. The Sabres scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Forsling's goal at 4:55 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were BUF 28, CHI 51. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 48 of 51 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Gustav Forsling (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tommy Wingels (1 G), 3. Robin Lehner (48 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    G. Forsling1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    T. Wingels1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Lehner48 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF151100706228
CHICHI01311411618351

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Pominville(8)PPG
    J. Eichel (15), E. Kane (13)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    19:42

2nd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(12)PPG
    P. Sharp (5), G. Forsling (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    8:30
  2. BUF
    K. Okposo(4)
    S. Wilson (1), E. Rodrigues (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    11:00

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Wingels(3)SHG
    G. Forsling (8), J. Rutta (10)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +41 pts
    2-2
    16:38

Overtime

  1. CHI
    G. Forsling(3)
    B. Saad (5), J. Toews (12)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:55

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:11CHIJan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 3:05BUFEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 15:54BUFEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min
  • 19:27CHITommy Wingels · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

2nd

  • 6:43BUFVictor Antipin · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Sharp2 min

3rd

  • 6:00BUFJohan Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Lance Bouma2 min
  • 15:25CHIBrent Seabrook · Interferencedrawn by Benoit Pouliot2 min

OT

  • 1:31CHIGustav Forsling · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Jack Eichel0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalBUF goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Gustav Forsling, OT 4:55 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.22P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.18R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.18A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.18G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.15J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.15T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.15B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.12J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.11T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.11A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.11D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wingels · Goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.06P. Sharp · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.05B. Seabrook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.04C. Franson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02C. Franson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Franson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI3 G · 4.3 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCHI
2.02 G
All situations
3 G4.3
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G3.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF16%84%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 4.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCHI
28
Shots on goal
51
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
15
31
Blocked shots
5
3
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-230.07250—31:44
6M. ScandellaD000020.12340—28:08
15J. EichelC011-260.562103623:13
19J. McCabeD000+100.10550—21:55
9E. KaneL011030.164002021:07
47Z. BogosianD000-110.00050—19:13
90R. O'ReillyC000010.030006318:14
67B. PouliotL000010.19210—16:02
21K. OkposoR101-120.17000—15:08
20S. WilsonC011+100.00220015:05
71E. RodriguesC011+110.080244314:13
29J. PominvilleR101030.35000—13:45
22J. LarssonL000010.003027013:24
41J. FalkD000+110.01200—13:01
23S. ReinhartC000-110.08300012:44
24H. FaschingR000000.02020—12:20
17J. NolanC000010.02210010:01
93V. AntipinD000010.01032—07:44
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(O)51483.9414.32+1.3264:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).