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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸5
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV FS-SW, FS-TN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cody McLeod's goal at 2:48 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 32, DAL 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (43 saves, .956), 2. Calle Jarnkrok (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mattias Ekholm (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros43 saves, .956
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Ekholm2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11241307532
DALDAL010021214245

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(5)PPG
    K. Turris (15), M. Ekholm (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    15:49

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. McLeod(1)
    A. Emelin (5), F. Gaudreau (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:48
  2. NSH
    P. Aberg(1)
    C. Jarnkrok (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    4:26
  3. NSH
    K. Turris(6)PPG
    M. Ekholm (12), R. Josi (13)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    7:34
  4. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(5)SHG
    A. Watson (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    5-0
    15:06

3rd period

  1. DAL
    S. Johns(3)
    J. Oleksiak (2), J. Benn (13)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    1:27
  2. DAL
    J. Oleksiak(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03
    5-2
    19:18

Penalties

NSH 16 PIM·DAL 18 PIM

1st

  • 4:03NSHNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 15:17DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min

2nd

  • 2:30NSHAnthony Bitetto · Fightingdrawn by Curtis McKenzie5 min
  • 2:30DALCurtis McKenzie · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto5 min
  • 2:43DALJamie Oleksiak · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 2:43NSHAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak5 min
  • 7:18DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 14:25NSHColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

3rd

  • 7:00DALMattias Janmark · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 7:40DALDan Hamhuis · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 7:40NSHRoman Josi · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Cody McLeod, 2nd 2:48 — NSH 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.29A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.19T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.16T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.15J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.14G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.11R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.10C. McKenzie · On goal · xG 0.10A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06C. McKenzie · Missed · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02C. McKenzie · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · Goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01C. McKenzie · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
2.55 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH32%68%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
32
Shots on goal
45
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
18
27
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
6
4
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD000+230.30230—23:53
25A. EmelinD011+110.01420—22:32
14M. EkholmD022+120.08050—19:52
59R. JosiD011010.12212—18:46
19C. JarnkrokC112+230.151404617:42
7Y. WeberD000-100.00310—17:10
10C. SissonsC000010.113027516:53
2A. BitettoD000-100.00115—16:38
9F. ForsbergL000+100.07200—16:13
33V. ArvidssonL000-140.10010—16:13
22K. FialaL101-140.36000—14:58
13N. BoninoC000-110.060023814:43
8K. TurrisC112-120.221003314:25
51A. WatsonL011+130.55105—14:22
46P. AbergL101+120.08100—14:04
15C. SmithC000-110.02000013:02
89F. GaudreauC011+120.181003012:39
55C. McLeodL101+120.12500—11:55
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)45432.9563.63+1.6360:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).