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Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 16:27 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 69%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.2, ANA 3.1; shots on goal were CGY 29, ANA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 43 of 43 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (43 saves, 1.000), 2. Rickard Rakell, 3. Mark Giordano.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith43 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01011019229
ANAANA09017017043

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    16:27

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:19

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·ANA 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:45CGYMichael Stone · Holdingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 5:06CGYSam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Francois Beauchemin2 min
  • 6:10ANACorey Perry · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 6:10ANACorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 6:10CGYTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 15:09ANACam Fowler · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 4:16ANARyan Getzlaf · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 15:27ANAKevin Bieksa · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

3rd

  • 1:07CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 10:07CGYTroy Brouwer · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 16:29CGYMikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Antoine Vermette2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 16:27 — CGY 51% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.11D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.08R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.05F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.03K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA0 G · 3.1 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
3.22 G
All situations
0 G3.1
2.21 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 109 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY44%56%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
29
Shots on goal
43
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
13
24
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7T. BrodieD000010.03110—26:45
5M. GiordanoD000+130.12170—22:22
24T. HamonicD000010.03405—21:08
27D. HamiltonD000+130.12200—18:14
11M. BacklundC101+110.080223917:45
26M. StoneD000010.05422—17:20
13J. GaudreauL011040.38000—17:00
23S. MonahanC101040.430004015:22
67M. FrolikR011+120.1100010015:07
19M. TkachukL011+110.14102—14:36
36T. BrouwerR000000.162121414:36
18M. StajanC000030.891105014:32
10K. VersteegR011000.03000—14:27
79M. FerlandL000040.18000—14:19
93S. BennettC000000.040026713:56
15T. GlassL000010.20300—11:25
20C. LazarC000000.19120011:02
44M. BartkowskiD000000.00400—10:04
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)434301.0003.12+3.1260:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).