Portland State vs. Washington State: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Portland State

0030

Washington State

▸0070

Final

Gesa Field

	1	2	3	4	T
PORT	7	10	6	7	30
WSU	22	27	14	7	70

PORTTeam statsWSU

449Total yards637

234Pass413

215Rush224

21First downs21

7-193rd down3-8

1Turnovers0

40:26Possession19:34

Scoring plays

• Q4 4:35PORTDante Chachere 4 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick)30–70
• Q4 13:32WSUTrey Leckner 33 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Dean Janikowski Kick)23–70
• Q3 7:53PORTEric Denham 40 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)23–63
• Q3 9:47WSUKyle Williams 59 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)17–63
• Q3 12:17WSUDjouvensky Schlenbaker 11 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)17–56
• Q2 0:08PORTBranden Alvarez 10 Yd pass from William Haskell (Mathias Uribe Kick)17–49
• Q2 1:30WSUJohn Mateer 40 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)10–49
• Q2 2:36WSUStephen Hall 100 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)10–42
• Q2 10:28WSUWayshawn Parker 52 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)10–36
• Q2 13:39WSUWayshawn Parker 54 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)10–29
• Q2 14:55PORTMathias Uribe 43 Yd Field Goal 10–22
• Q1 3:07WSUKyle Williams 58 Yd pass from John Mateer (Billy Riviere III Run for Two-Point Conversion)7–22
• Q1 4:49WSUTre Shackelford 39 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–14
• Q1 10:06WSUKris Hutson 30 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–7
• Q1 12:17PORTDante Chachere 5 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick)7–0

How the model called it

Market line

WSU −26.5

Against the number

WSU covered

line WSU −26.5

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

WSU 100%50%PORT 100%

Kickoff153 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

WSU (top)PORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: WSU 100%

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

WSU −26.5

Closing total

57.5

Model line

—

Actual result

PORT 30 – 70 WSU

Leaders

Portland State

• PassDante Chachere 14/25, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
• RushDelon Thompson 15 CAR, 96 YDS
• RecTanner Beaman 3 REC, 42 YDS

Washington State

• PassJohn Mateer 11/17, 352 YDS, 5 TD
• RushWayshawn Parker 8 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
• RecKyle Williams 4 REC, 141 YDS, 2 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

26.4sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

135

Points / snap

0.74

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

WSU up 40 entering the 4th quarter. Across 265 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

WSU went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WFlorida Atlantic vs Tulsa63-16WWagner vs Post University48-21WGeorgia Southern vs Ball State40-3WFresno State vs Kent State56-10WJacksonville State vs East Tennessee State49-3

Fourth downs

17 calls

PORT gave up 0.3 points to the model on fourth down.PORT 9/10 · WSU 4/4 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Portland State vs. Washington State?

Portland State 30, Washington State 70.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (WSU) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

PORT

WSU

36%

Success rate

53%

-0.04

EPA / pass

1.31

0.15

EPA / rush

0.50

33%

Early-down success

54%

36%

Pass success

58%

35%

Rush success

48%

11%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

28%

23%

Stuffed rush rate

26%

43%

Pass rate

47%

7.9

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.8

PORT

7.9 yards to go on 3rd down

84 scrimmage snaps

WSU

6.8 yards to go on 3rd down

51 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

PORT		WSU
449	Total yards	637
234	Passing yards	413
215	Rushing yards	224
21	First downs	21
7-19	3rd down	3-8
2-4	4th down	2-2
20/35	Comp/Att	17/24
6.7	Yards per pass	17.2
4.5	Yards per rush	8.3
1	Turnovers	0
7-35	Penalties	5-51
40:26	Possession	19:34

Fourth downs

17 calls

PORT

9/10 with the model

−0.3 pts · −0.0% win prob

WSU

4/4 with the model

nothing given up

Costliest call

Q3 3:00 PORT punt on 4th & 14 at WSU 41. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.30 points.

Every call, priced (17)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

PORT 6/14 scoring drives← own end zone →WSU 9/14 scoring drives

WSUPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 31Q1

PORTTD5 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1

WSUTD8 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1

PORTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q1

WSUTD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1

PORTPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 25Q1

WSUTD1 pl, 58 yds· own 42Q1

PORTFG8 pl, 49 yds· own 25Q1

WSUTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2

PORTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q2

WSUTD4 pl, 68 yds· own 32Q2

PORTTD14 pl, 71 yds· own 25Q2

PORTPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 25Q2

WSUTD2 pl, 47 yds· opp 47Q2

PORTTD8 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2

WSUEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 17Q2

PORTPUNT6 pl, 11 yds· own 25Q3

WSUTD2 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q3

PORTPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 31Q3

WSUTD2 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q3

PORTTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3

WSUPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q3

PORTPUNT6 pl, 31 yds· own 28Q3

WSUTD11 pl, 92 yds· own 8Q3

PORTTD14 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4

WSUPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q4

PORTDOWNS4 pl, 8 yds· own 33Q4

WSUEND1 pl, -1 yds· opp 41Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 4:35PORTDante Chachere 4 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick)30–70
• Q4 13:32WSUTrey Leckner 33 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Dean Janikowski Kick)23–70
• Q3 7:53PORTEric Denham 40 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)23–63
• Q3 9:47WSUKyle Williams 59 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)17–63
• Q3 12:17WSUDjouvensky Schlenbaker 11 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)17–56
• Q2 0:08PORTBranden Alvarez 10 Yd pass from William Haskell (Mathias Uribe Kick)17–49
• Q2 1:30WSUJohn Mateer 40 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)10–49
• Q2 2:36WSUStephen Hall 100 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)10–42
• Q2 10:28WSUWayshawn Parker 52 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)10–36
• Q2 13:39WSUWayshawn Parker 54 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)10–29
• Q2 14:55PORTMathias Uribe 43 Yd Field Goal 10–22
• Q1 3:07WSUKyle Williams 58 Yd pass from John Mateer (Billy Riviere III Run for Two-Point Conversion)7–22
• Q1 4:49WSUTre Shackelford 39 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–14
• Q1 10:06WSUKris Hutson 30 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–7
• Q1 12:17PORTDante Chachere 5 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick)7–0

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →