Montana vs. Utah Tech: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Montana1-0

▸0043

Utah Tech

0013

Final

Greater Zion Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
MONT	14	22	7	0	43
UTAH	0	0	0	13	13

MONTTeam statsUTAH

397Total yards361

135Pass258

262Rush103

26First downs17

6-133rd down5-18

1Turnovers4

35:29Possession24:31

Scoring plays

• Q4 4:17UTAHRickie Johnson 7 Yd pass from Kobe Tracy (Connor Brooksby Kick)43–13
• Q4 11:20UTAHJaivian Lofton 23 Yd pass from Kobe Tracy (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)43–6
• Q3 0:28MONTEvan Shafer 1 Yd pass from Sam Vidlak (Nico Ramos Kick)43–0
• Q2 0:39MONTEli Gillman 2 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow Kick)36–0
• Q2 5:08MONTJunior Bergen 47 Yd Punt Return (Grant Glasgow Kick)29–0
• Q2 12:41MONTNick Ostmo 46 Yd Run (Xavier Harris Run for Two-Point Conversion)22–0
• Q1 4:44MONTEli Gillman 2 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow Kick)14–0
• Q1 10:26MONTNick Ostmo 4 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow Kick)7–0

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

UTAH 100%50%MONT 100%

Kickoff96 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

UTAH (top)MONT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UTAH 0%

Leaders

Montana

• PassClifton McDowell 7/10, 94 YDS
• RushNick Ostmo 12 CAR, 118 YDS, 2 TD
• RecNick Ostmo 2 REC, 27 YDS

Utah Tech

• PassKobe Tracy 15/33, 209 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
• RushRonnie Walker Jr. 11 CAR, 55 YDS
• RecJaivian Lofton 4 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

43sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

82

Points / snap

0.68

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

MONT up 36 entering the 4th quarter. Across 338 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

MONT went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WTexas State vs Jackson State77-34WLiberty vs Old Dominion39-10WWeber State vs Northwestern State39-0WLouisiana vs Arkansas State55-19WWisconsin vs Purdue52-6

Fourth downs

16 calls

UTAH gave up 0.9 points to the model on fourth down.MONT 5/6 · UTAH 5/8 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Montana vs. Utah Tech?

Montana 43, Utah Tech 13.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked UTAH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

MONT

UTAH

47%

Success rate

33%

0.62

EPA / pass

-0.21

0.30

EPA / rush

0.62

43%

Early-down success

32%

50%

Pass success

28%

46%

Rush success

56%

12%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

10%

8%

Stuffed rush rate

11%

29%

Pass rate

81%

5.8

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.9

MONT

5.8 yards to go on 3rd down

34 scrimmage snaps

UTAH

5.9 yards to go on 3rd down

48 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

MONT		UTAH
397	Total yards	361
135	Passing yards	258
262	Rushing yards	103
26	First downs	17
6-13	3rd down	5-18
0-0	4th down	1-3
13/21	Comp/Att	21/49
6.4	Yards per pass	5.3
4.6	Yards per rush	4.9
1	Turnovers	4
5-45	Penalties	5-60
35:29	Possession	24:31

Fourth downs

16 calls

MONT

5/6 with the model

−0.5 pts · −0.0% win prob

UTAH

5/8 with the model

−0.9 pts · −0.0% win prob

Costliest call

Q2 6:41 MONT punt on 4th & 2 at MONT 39. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.49 points.

Every call, priced (16)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

MONT 5/13 scoring drives← own end zone →UTAH 3/15 scoring drives

UTAHINT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q1

MONTTD7 pl, 43 yds· opp 43Q1

UTAHPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 19Q1

MONTTD9 pl, 63 yds· own 37Q1

UTAHDOWNS6 pl, 35 yds· own 25Q1

MONTPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 40Q1

UTAHPUNT5 pl, 27 yds· own 14Q1

MONTTD6 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q2

UTAHPUNT9 pl, 25 yds· own 25Q2

MONTPUNT4 pl, 24 yds· own 15Q2

UTAHTD3 pl, 99 yds· own 1Q2

UTAHINT5 pl, 10 yds· own 25Q2

MONTTD8 pl, 53 yds· own 47Q2

UTAHPUNT4 pl, 24 yds· own 25Q2

UTAHFUM1 pl, 0 yds· own 10Q3

MONTPUNT5 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q3

UTAHPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 30Q3

MONTPUNT7 pl, 25 yds· own 24Q3

MONTMISS9 pl, 44 yds· own 40Q3

UTAHINT4 pl, 15 yds· own 20Q3

MONTTD6 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q3

UTAHDOWNS5 pl, 26 yds· own 41Q3

MONTFUM5 pl, 17 yds· own 33Q4

UTAHTD3 pl, 31 yds· opp 31Q4

MONTPUNT5 pl, 16 yds· own 25Q4

UTAHTD13 pl, 78 yds· own 22Q4

MONTPUNT6 pl, 14 yds· own 25Q4

UTAHUncateg6 pl, 44 yds· own 22Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 4:17UTAHRickie Johnson 7 Yd pass from Kobe Tracy (Connor Brooksby Kick)43–13
• Q4 11:20UTAHJaivian Lofton 23 Yd pass from Kobe Tracy (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)43–6
• Q3 0:28MONTEvan Shafer 1 Yd pass from Sam Vidlak (Nico Ramos Kick)43–0
• Q2 0:39MONTEli Gillman 2 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow Kick)36–0
• Q2 5:08MONTJunior Bergen 47 Yd Punt Return (Grant Glasgow Kick)29–0
• Q2 12:41MONTNick Ostmo 46 Yd Run (Xavier Harris Run for Two-Point Conversion)22–0
• Q1 4:44MONTEli Gillman 2 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow Kick)14–0
• Q1 10:26MONTNick Ostmo 4 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow Kick)7–0

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →