Georgia vs. Alabama: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
UGATeam statsALA
- Q4 1:59ALAWill Reichard 41 Yd Field Goal 24–41
- Q4 9:42UGABrock Bowers 18 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)24–38
- Q4 11:59ALAJordan Battle 42 Yd Interception Return (Will Reichard Kick)17–38
- Q3 13:10ALAJameson Williams 55 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)17–31
- Q2 0:26ALABryce Young 11 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)17–24
- Q2 2:06UGALadd McConkey 32 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)17–17
- Q2 3:28ALAWill Reichard 33 Yd Field Goal 10–17
- Q2 9:46ALAJohn Metchie III 13 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)10–14
- Q2 14:12ALAJameson Williams 67 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)10–7
- Q2 14:56UGADarnell Washington 5 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)10–0
- Q1 6:01UGAJack Podlesny 38 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
- PassStetson Bennett IV 29/48, 340 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
- RushJames Cook III 11 CAR, 38 YDS
- RecBrock Bowers 10 REC, 139 YDS, 1 TD
- PassBryce Young 26/44, 421 YDS, 3 TD
- RushBrian Robinson Jr. 16 CAR, 55 YDS
- RecJameson Williams 7 REC, 184 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsALA up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 2:06UGA +23%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
- Q2 0:26ALA +23%
Bryce Young run for 11 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
- Q2 9:46ALA +21%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 13 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
- Q2 14:12ALA +18%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 67 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
- Q2 14:56UGA +18%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
- Q3 13:10ALA +16%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 55 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
FAQ
What was the final score of Georgia vs. Alabama?
Georgia 24, Alabama 41.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked UGA, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| UGA | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 449 | Total yards | 536 |
| 340 | Passing yards | 421 |
| 109 | Rushing yards | 115 |
| 30 | First downs | 25 |
| 3-12 | 3rd down | 7-14 |
| 2-4 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 29/48 | Comp/Att | 26/44 |
| 7.1 | Yards per pass | 9.6 |
| 3.6 | Yards per rush | 4.4 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 6-45 | Penalties | 7-85 |
| 34:13 | Possession | 25:47 |
Costliest call
Q3 0:00 UGA go for it on 4th & 9 at ALA 19. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.88 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:59ALAWill Reichard 41 Yd Field Goal 24–41
- Q4 9:42UGABrock Bowers 18 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)24–38
- Q4 11:59ALAJordan Battle 42 Yd Interception Return (Will Reichard Kick)17–38
- Q3 13:10ALAJameson Williams 55 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)17–31
- Q2 0:26ALABryce Young 11 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)17–24
- Q2 2:06UGALadd McConkey 32 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)17–17
- Q2 3:28ALAWill Reichard 33 Yd Field Goal 10–17
- Q2 9:46ALAJohn Metchie III 13 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)10–14
- Q2 14:12ALAJameson Williams 67 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)10–7
- Q2 14:56UGADarnell Washington 5 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)10–0
- Q1 6:01UGAJack Podlesny 38 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (ALA Elo 2173, UGA Elo 2190 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects ALA +0.7 (49% to win) — 5.8 points clear of ALA's market line of +6.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2021
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#52 of 112 in 2021 by biggest miss · #73 of 128 in 2021 by longest odds · #62 of 62 in 2021 by biggest poll gap.
The 2021 upset archive →Alabama leads 45–26–3 · 39% have been one-possession games
| UGA | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| +45.0 (#1) | CORE overall | +35.5 (#2) |
| +16 / -29 | offense / defense | +16 / -20 |
| 3.21 | points / drive | 3.26 |
| 0.64 | allowed / drive | 1.67 |
| 21% | three-and-outs | 16% |
| +2 | pass over expected | +11 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →