| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| THE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MISS | 21 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49 |
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
MISS up 42 entering the 4th quarter. Across 170 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
The Citadel 0, Ole Miss 49.
Yes — the model's pick (MISS) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had MISS pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
End of 1st quarter.
End of 2nd quarter.
(00:54) #2 J.Graves-Billips rush left for 4 yards loss to the OM15 (#4 S.Perkins; #6 T.Dottery), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
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