South Carolina State vs. South Florida: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

South Carolina State0-1

South Florida2-1

▸

Final

Raymond James Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
SOUT	0	7	0	7	14
USF	7	14	35	7	63

SOUTTeam statsUSF

305Total yards504

235Pass252

70Rush252

20First downs20

7-183rd down5-10

1Turnovers1

43:07Possession16:53

Q4 6:28USFSam Franklin 54 Yd Run (Adam Zouagui Kick)14–63
Q4 8:02SOUTJulian Milligan 17 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)14–56
Q3 5:28USFSam Franklin 30 Yd Run (Adam Zouagui Kick)7–56
Q3 6:40USFChas Nimrod 22 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Nico Gramatica Kick)7–49
Q3 9:16USFAshton Mosley 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Nico Gramatica Kick)7–42
Q3 12:49USFNykahi Davenport 43 Yd Run (Nico Gramatica Kick)7–35
Q3 13:53USFChas Nimrod 42 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Nico Gramatica Kick)7–28
Q2 0:26SOUTKacy Fields 1 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–21
Q2 6:20USFJoshua Porter 26 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Nico Gramatica Kick)0–21
Q2 13:56USFJonathan Echols 22 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Nico Gramatica Kick)0–14
Q1 9:27USFMac Harris 93 Yd Interception Return (Nico Gramatica Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

USF −36

Against the number

USF covered

line USF −36

What the numbers say

SOUT played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and USF did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.3 vs 3rd & 5.8

Kickoff161 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

USF (top)SOUT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: USF 100%

Closing line

USF −36

Closing total

58.0

Model line

—

Actual result

SOUT 14 – 63 USF

South Carolina State

PassWilliam Atkins IV 18/28, 151 YDS
RushKacy Fields 7 CAR, 24 YDS, 1 TD
RecDeyandre Ruffin 4 REC, 41 YDS

South Florida

PassByrum Brown 14/20, 236 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushSam Franklin 4 CAR, 91 YDS, 2 TD
RecChas Nimrod 4 REC, 119 YDS, 2 TD

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

USF up 49 entering the 4th quarter. Across 72 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

USF went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WPenn State vs Delaware63-7 WCentral Arkansas vs Texas College70-2 WDrake vs South Dakota State70-7 WPenn State vs Massachusetts63-0 WSouthern Illinois vs Western Illinois63-0

FAQ

What was the final score of South Carolina State vs. South Florida?

South Carolina State 14, South Florida 63.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (USF) was correct.

SOUT

USF

37%

Success rate

47%

-0.22

EPA / pass

0.66

-0.05

EPA / rush

0.46

34%

Early-down success

46%

40%

Pass success

50%

32%

Rush success

43%

11%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

21%

44%

Stuffed rush rate

27%

60%

Pass rate

48%

8.3

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.8

SOUT

8.3 yards to go on 3rd down

84 scrimmage snaps

USF

5.8 yards to go on 3rd down

58 scrimmage snaps

SOUT		USF
305	Total yards	504
235	Passing yards	252
70	Rushing yards	252
20	First downs	20
7-18	3rd down	5-10
1-2	4th down	1-1
25/42	Comp/Att	18/26
5.6	Yards per pass	9.7
1.8	Yards per rush	9.0
1	Turnovers	1
9-55	Penalties	8-80
43:07	Possession	16:53

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

SOUTTeam statsUSF

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of South Carolina State vs. South Florida?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

South Carolina State vs. South Florida: Final Score & Recap

SOUTTeam statsUSF

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of South Carolina State vs. South Florida?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?