Norfolk State vs. Rutgers: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Norfolk State
Rutgers2-0
▸Final
SHI Stadium
NORFTeam statsRUTG
220Total yards563
92Pass378
128Rush185
12First downs33
2-103rd down9-14
2Turnovers0
23:55Possession36:05
- Q4 4:59RUTGMichael Thomas III 25 Yd pass from AJ Surace (Dane Pizzaro Kick)10–60
- Q4 7:40RUTGDino Kaliakmanis 9 Yd pass from AJ Surace (Dane Pizzaro Kick)10–53
- Q3 0:14RUTGJa'shon Benjamin 11 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)10–46
- Q3 7:29RUTGAntwan Raymond 1 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)10–39
- Q3 9:34NORFKevon King 25 Yd Run (Evan Helfrich Kick)10–32
- Q3 11:08RUTGBen Black 37 Yd pass from Athan Kaliakmanis (Jai Patel PAT blocked)3–32
- Q2 0:03RUTGJai Patel 44 Yd Field Goal 3–26
- Q2 3:50RUTGJai Patel 31 Yd Field Goal 3–23
- Q2 8:04RUTGAntwan Raymond 3 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)3–20
- Q2 12:24NORFEvan Helfrich 34 Yd Field Goal 3–13
- Q1 0:48RUTGKaj Sanders 22 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jai Patel Kick)0–13
- Q1 14:09RUTGDylan Braithwaite 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jai Patel PAT blocked)0–6
How the model called it
Market line
RUTG −45
Against the number
RUTG covered
line RUTG −45
What the numbers say
- NORF played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and RUTG did not face the same ones. 3rd & 10.7 vs 3rd & 6.9
- NORF lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 16% explosive on a 34% success rate
Kickoff153 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
RUTG (top)NORF (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: RUTG 100%
Closing line
RUTG −45
Closing total
56.0
Model line
—
Actual result
NORF 10 – 60 RUTG
Norfolk State
- PassOtto Kuhns 8/20, 90 YDS, 1 INT
- RushKevon King 7 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDreSean Kendrick 3 REC, 48 YDS
Rutgers
- PassAthan Kaliakmanis 18/26, 309 YDS, 1 TD
- RushAntwan Raymond 16 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
- RecKJ Duff 6 REC, 119 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsRUTG up 36 entering the 4th quarter. Across 339 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
RUTG went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Norfolk State vs. Rutgers?
Norfolk State 10, Rutgers 60.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (RUTG) was correct.
NORF
RUTG
34%
Success rate
53%
-0.43
EPA / pass
0.68
0.16
EPA / rush
0.27
37%
Early-down success
49%
31%
Pass success
54%
38%
Rush success
52%
16%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
15%
29%
Stuffed rush rate
9%
52%
Pass rate
48%
10.7
Avg 3rd-down distance
6.9
NORF
10.7 yards to go on 3rd down
50 scrimmage snaps
RUTG
6.9 yards to go on 3rd down
85 scrimmage snaps
| NORF | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 220 | Total yards | 563 |
| 92 | Passing yards | 378 |
| 128 | Rushing yards | 185 |
| 12 | First downs | 33 |
| 2-10 | 3rd down | 9-14 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 3-4 |
| 9/23 | Comp/Att | 23/35 |
| 4.0 | Yards per pass | 10.8 |
| 4.7 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 6-47 | Penalties | 5-45 |
| 23:55 | Possession | 36:05 |
NORF
6/7 with the model
−0.7 pts · −0.0% win prob
RUTG
3/4 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q1 9:12 NORF punt on 4th & 6 at RUTG 39. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.68 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishNORF 4/11 scoring drives← own end zone →RUTG 8/10 scoring drives
NORFTD3 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q1
NORFPUNT8 pl, 36 yds· own 25Q1
RUTGDOWNS12 pl, 47 yds· own 7Q1
NORFTD3 pl, -14 yds· own 46Q1
NORFFG9 pl, 59 yds· own 25Q1
RUTGTD9 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q2
NORFINT2 pl, 8 yds· opp 36Q2
RUTGFG7 pl, 62 yds· own 25Q2
NORFPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q2
RUTGFG12 pl, 57 yds· own 17Q2
RUTGTD9 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q3
NORFTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
RUTGTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
NORFPUNT5 pl, 10 yds· own 9Q3
NORFPUNT8 pl, 29 yds· own 25Q3
RUTGTD8 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q3
RUTGTD10 pl, 48 yds· opp 48Q4
NORFFUM2 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q4
RUTGTD6 pl, 34 yds· opp 34Q4
NORFPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q4
RUTGEND5 pl, 20 yds· own 34Q4
- Q4 4:59RUTGMichael Thomas III 25 Yd pass from AJ Surace (Dane Pizzaro Kick)10–60
- Q4 7:40RUTGDino Kaliakmanis 9 Yd pass from AJ Surace (Dane Pizzaro Kick)10–53
- Q3 0:14RUTGJa'shon Benjamin 11 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)10–46
- Q3 7:29RUTGAntwan Raymond 1 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)10–39
- Q3 9:34NORFKevon King 25 Yd Run (Evan Helfrich Kick)10–32
- Q3 11:08RUTGBen Black 37 Yd pass from Athan Kaliakmanis (Jai Patel PAT blocked)3–32
- Q2 0:03RUTGJai Patel 44 Yd Field Goal 3–26
- Q2 3:50RUTGJai Patel 31 Yd Field Goal 3–23
- Q2 8:04RUTGAntwan Raymond 3 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)3–20
- Q2 12:24NORFEvan Helfrich 34 Yd Field Goal 3–13
- Q1 0:48RUTGKaj Sanders 22 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jai Patel Kick)0–13
- Q1 14:09RUTGDylan Braithwaite 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jai Patel PAT blocked)0–6
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →