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Nicholls vs. Texas State: Final Score & Recap
Sun, Sep 21, 12:00 AM
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NICH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TXST | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 35 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
TXST (top)NICH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: TXST 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
NICH 1/9 scoring drives← own end zone →TXST 5/10 scoring drives
TXSTTD13 pl, 92 yds· own 8Q1
NICHFG13 pl, 60 yds· own 25Q1
TXSTTD6 pl, 44 yds· opp 44Q1
NICHPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q2
TXSTTD8 pl, 92 yds· own 8Q2
NICHPUNT4 pl, 13 yds· own 25Q2
TXSTTD12 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q2
NICHINT11 pl, 72 yds· own 25Q2
TXSTEND1 pl, 2 yds· own 20Q2
NICHPUNT4 pl, 19 yds· own 25Q3
TXSTPUNT10 pl, 40 yds· own 21Q3
NICHPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 2Q3
TXSTTD11 pl, 46 yds· opp 46Q3
NICHDOWNS13 pl, 47 yds· own 25Q3
TXSTPUNT6 pl, 22 yds· own 28Q4
NICHPUNT10 pl, 39 yds· own 11Q4
TXSTFUM1 pl, 9 yds· own 20Q4
NICHDOWNS4 pl, 6 yds· opp 29Q4
TXSTEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 23Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
TXST up 32 entering the 4th quarter. Across 373 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
TXST went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Nicholls vs. Texas State?
Nicholls 3, Texas State 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TXST) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had TXST pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.