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#7Lincoln Pare
Lincoln Pare is a Explosive Back for Texas State. Lincoln's 2024 season ranks in the 38th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 89 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2024 Production
Rushing
547 Rush yards8 Rush TD94 Carries5.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
12 Receptions134 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.2 Yards/rec
Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers
Player type
Explosive Back
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)38th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency54th %ile · average
Key findings
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.60 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 2.92 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Southern Miss (SP+ -26).
NIL Market Tier· 2024
On3 valuation ↗Star
Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLamar | W34-27 | — | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.52 |
| 2 | vsUTSA | W49-10 | 2.2 | 11 | 109 | 9.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.73 |
| 3 | vsArizona State | L28-31 | 9.4 | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.14 |
| 5 | vsSam Houston | L39-40 | -6.9 | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 7 | vsArkansas State | W41-9 | -9.9 | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 10 | vsLouisiana | L17-23 | 4.8 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.05 |
| 11 | @UL Monroe | W38-17 | -16.7 | 7 | 31 | 4.4 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.03 |
| 12 | vsSouthern Miss | W58-3 | -25.6 | 2 | 74 | 37.0 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.92 |
| 13 | vsGeorgia State | L44-52 | -17.9 | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1.02 |
| 14 | @South Alabama | W45-38 | 2.8 | 26 | 96 | 3.7 | 1 | 5 | 66 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 1 | vsNorth Texas | W30-28 | -4.5 | 21 | 143 | 6.8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0.29 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
Snap-share proxy
Overall
13.1%
Passing plays
3.3%
Rushing plays
21.7%
Standard downs
15.7%
Passing downs
6.5%
EPA by down type
- Standard downs
- 0.20
- Passing downs
- 0.85
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.90 / 0.22
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).