Akron
0-3·Mid-American· Elo 1064
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUQU | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| AKR | 10 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 51 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = DUQU ahead, below = AKR ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
AKR up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Duquesne 7, Akron 51.
No — the model picked DUQU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had DUQU pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Malcom DeWalt IV 22 Yd Interception Return (Owen Wiley Kick)
Ness Davis run for 74 yds to the AKR 1 for a 1ST down
Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to B.J. Alexander, broken up by Malcom DeWalt IV
Team boards, recruiting & CFB talk — start a thread.
Open the boards →