Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
CCUTeam statsLT
- Q4 0:56LTKaegan Kent 35 Yd Field Goal 14–23
- Q4 8:09LTAndrew Burnette 1 Yd Run (Trey Kukuk Pass to Andrew Burnette for Two-Point Conversion)14–20
- Q4 11:45LTMarlion Jackson 52 Yd pass from Trey Kukuk (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)14–12
- Q3 11:45LTJohn Hoyet Chance 51 Yd Field Goal 14–6
- Q2 1:16CCURobby Washington 16 Yd pass from Tad Hudson (Kian Afrookhteh Kick)14–3
- Q2 2:49LTKaegan Kent 42 Yd Field Goal 7–3
- Q1 1:12CCUDominic Knicely 20 Yd pass from Tad Hudson (Kian Afrookhteh Kick)7–0
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = CCU ahead, below = LT ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassTad Hudson 25/49, 311 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- RushJevon Edwards 9 CAR, 36 YDS
- RecBryson Graves 6 REC, 99 YDS
- PassTrey Kukuk 9/19, 114 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushTrey Kukuk 19 CAR, 121 YDS
- RecMarlion Jackson 3 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech?
Coastal Carolina 14, Louisiana Tech 23.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (LT) was correct.
| CCU | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 356 | Total yards | 295 |
| 311 | Passing yards | 114 |
| 45 | Rushing yards | 181 |
| 19 | First downs | 12 |
| 2-14 | 3rd down | 4-16 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 25/49 | Comp/Att | 9/19 |
| 6.3 | Yards per pass | 6.0 |
| 1.8 | Yards per rush | 3.9 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 14-115 | Penalties | 11-113 |
| 28:08 | Possession | 31:52 |
- Q4 0:56LTKaegan Kent 35 Yd Field Goal 14–23
- Q4 8:09LTAndrew Burnette 1 Yd Run (Trey Kukuk Pass to Andrew Burnette for Two-Point Conversion)14–20
- Q4 11:45LTMarlion Jackson 52 Yd pass from Trey Kukuk (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)14–12
- Q3 11:45LTJohn Hoyet Chance 51 Yd Field Goal 14–6
- Q2 1:16CCURobby Washington 16 Yd pass from Tad Hudson (Kian Afrookhteh Kick)14–3
- Q2 2:49LTKaegan Kent 42 Yd Field Goal 7–3
- Q1 1:12CCUDominic Knicely 20 Yd pass from Tad Hudson (Kian Afrookhteh Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (LT Elo 1429, CCU Elo 1165 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects LT -10.6 (77% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| CCU | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| -16.4 (#115) | CORE overall | -2.2 (#70) |
| -8 / +8 | offense / defense | -6 / -4 |
| 1.56 | points / drive | 2.08 |
| 2.54 | allowed / drive | 1.61 |
| 35% | three-and-outs | 31% |
| -2 | pass over expected | -9 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →