West Virginia vs. Texas Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WVUTeam statsTTU
- Q4 3:36TTUWill Hammond 4 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)15–52
- Q4 8:38WVUJahiem White 21 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)15–45
- Q4 12:17TTUGino Garcia 22 Yd Field Goal 9–45
- Q3 2:04WVURodney Gallagher III 15 Yd pass from Garrett Greene (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)9–42
- Q3 12:48TTUCaleb Douglas 31 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)3–42
- Q2 0:09TTUTahj Brooks 2 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)3–35
- Q2 1:35TTUTahj Brooks 37 Yd Run (Jalin Conyers Run for Two-Point Conversion)3–28
- Q2 4:19TTUMason Tharp 1 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)3–20
- Q2 10:32TTUTahj Brooks 2 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)3–13
- Q1 1:28TTUGino Garcia 23 Yd Field Goal 3–6
- Q1 3:47WVUMichael Hayes II 52 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q1 8:27TTUGino Garcia 32 Yd Field Goal 0–3
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- WVU played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and TTU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 7.3 vs 3rd & 4.8
- PassGarrett Greene 29/39, 265 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- RushJahiem White 14 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
- RecCJ Donaldson 7 REC, 73 YDS
- PassBehren Morton 28/41, 359 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushTahj Brooks 23 CAR, 188 YDS, 3 TD
- RecJosh Kelly 9 REC, 150 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTTU up 33 entering the 4th quarter. Across 454 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 10:32TTU +17%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
- Q2 4:19TTU +11%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
- Q1 1:28TTU +8%
Gino Garcia 23 yd FG GOOD
- Q1 3:47WVU +8%
Michael Hayes II 52 yd FG GOOD
- Q1 8:27TTU +8%
Gino Garcia 32 yd FG GOOD
- Q2 1:35TTU +6%
Tahj Brooks run for 37 yds for a TD (J. Conyers Run For Two-point Conversion)
FAQ
What was the final score of West Virginia vs. Texas Tech?
West Virginia 15, Texas Tech 52.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TTU) was correct.
| WVU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 423 | Total yards | 568 |
| 265 | Passing yards | 359 |
| 158 | Rushing yards | 209 |
| 26 | First downs | 31 |
| 8-15 | 3rd down | 9-12 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 29/40 | Comp/Att | 28/42 |
| 6.6 | Yards per pass | 8.5 |
| 4.5 | Yards per rush | 6.5 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-59 | Penalties | 3-20 |
| 34:42 | Possession | 25:18 |
Costliest call
Q4 12:17 TTU field goal on 4th & 4 at WVU 4. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.34 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 3:36TTUWill Hammond 4 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)15–52
- Q4 8:38WVUJahiem White 21 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)15–45
- Q4 12:17TTUGino Garcia 22 Yd Field Goal 9–45
- Q3 2:04WVURodney Gallagher III 15 Yd pass from Garrett Greene (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)9–42
- Q3 12:48TTUCaleb Douglas 31 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)3–42
- Q2 0:09TTUTahj Brooks 2 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)3–35
- Q2 1:35TTUTahj Brooks 37 Yd Run (Jalin Conyers Run for Two-Point Conversion)3–28
- Q2 4:19TTUMason Tharp 1 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)3–20
- Q2 10:32TTUTahj Brooks 2 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)3–13
- Q1 1:28TTUGino Garcia 23 Yd Field Goal 3–6
- Q1 3:47WVUMichael Hayes II 52 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q1 8:27TTUGino Garcia 32 Yd Field Goal 0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TTU Elo 1540, WVU Elo 1553 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TTU -1.9 (56% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesTexas Tech leads 8–7 · Texas Tech has won 2 straight · 47% have been one-possession games
| WVU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| -4.4 (#83) | CORE overall | +3.0 (#56) |
| +3 / +7 | offense / defense | +3 / +0 |
| 2.52 | points / drive | 2.84 |
| 3.19 | allowed / drive | 2.48 |
| 22% | three-and-outs | 18% |
| -9 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →